Ferroviário Fortaleza vs Santa Cruz Recife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife
Result
3:1
08/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
58
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
710
Corner Kicks
58
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Ciel ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 74', 2 - 1, Ciel ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Joao Neto ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviário Fortaleza
26.3%
Draw
30.6%
Santa Cruz Recife
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 28% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 26.7% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.53)
    2.96
    (3.24)
    2.11
    (1.96)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2.
    • Ferroviário has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santa Cruz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Santa Cruz might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviário Fortaleza 3:1
    08.03.2023 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife 2:1
    Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0