Result
3:1
08/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Thiago Galhardo ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 74', 2 - 1, Ciel ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 1, Joao Neto ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ferroviário Fortaleza
26.3% | Draw
30.6% | Santa Cruz Recife
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(3.53) |
2.96 ↓
(3.24) |
2.11 ↑
(1.96) |
10.3%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2.
- Ferroviário has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Cruz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Santa Cruz might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Santa Cruz Recife?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Cruz Recife won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Santa Cruz Recife has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife were as follows:
01.06.2025
Santa Cruz Recife
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
3:1
08.03.2023
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Santa Cruz Recife
2:1
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 10 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 13 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | America RN | Imperatriz | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
