Ferroviário Fortaleza vs Treze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
413
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
07
Total shots
413
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
27
Corner Kicks
07
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Ciel (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 1, Guilherme Lucena ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviário Fortaleza
45.3%
Draw
29.5%
Treze
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 29.2% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.
  • Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviário Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.45)
    3.09
    (3.1)
    3.61
    (2.63)
    9.9%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze?
  • Users Predictions: Ferroviário Fortaleza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ferroviário Fortaleza will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2.
    • Ferroviário has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Treze is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Treze - Ferroviário Fortaleza 1:0
    08.01.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze 2:0
    Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
    Latest results of Treze
    08.06.2025 Central SC - Treze 1:0
    31.05.2025 Treze - Central SC 0:3
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM43018:629
    2Manauara42207:348
    3Sao Raimundo RR42204:138
    4Manaus41122:4-24
    5Monte Roraima40221:4-32
    6GAS40132:6-41


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guapore43106:2410
    2Araguaina42206:428
    3Porto Velho521211:567
    4Galvez42024:7-36
    5Independencia51226:515
    6Humaita40042:12-100


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama541010:1913
    2Luverdense52214:6-28
    3Aparecidense42026:516
    4Brasiliense41303:216
    5Primavera AC40223:6-32
    6Inhumas40042:8-60


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goiatuba541010:3713
    2Capital53115:3210
    3Mixto51314:406
    4Ceilandia41122:3-14
    5Uniao Rondonopolis51135:10-54
    6Operario VG40133:6-31


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba52308:539
    2Trem42207:438
    3Imperatriz41305:326
    4Tuna Luso51316:606
    5Oratorio51045:9-43
    6Tocantinopolis50324:8-43


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Iguatu53206:2411
    2Maracana42115:327
    3Moto Club41213:305
    4Parnahyba41122:4-24
    5Sampaio Correa30210:1-12
    6IAPE40224:7-32


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI52308:449
    2Piaui42118:627
    3Ferroviario42116:427
    4AE Altos52124:7-37
    5Atletico-CE50412:4-24
    6Tirol50234:7-32


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC53118:5310
    2America RN43015:239
    3Central SC52216:428
    4Maguary42025:326
    5Sousa41032:5-33
    6Laguna RN40131:8-71


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Serra Branca52309:549
    2Treze PB421111:747
    3Sergipe42117:617
    4Lagarto51139:12-34
    5Retro41126:9-34
    6Decisao41125:8-34


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juazeirense54019:5412
    2CSA531110:4610
    3ASA42114:317
    4CSE41125:7-24
    5Jacuipense41123:6-34
    6Alagoinhas40042:8-60


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uberlandia54018:4412
    2Ivinhema53117:5210
    3Betim42115:417
    4CRAC41123:304
    5Operario MS50323:6-33
    6Ouvidorense50232:6-42


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA53026:9-39
    2Tombense42114:137
    3Rio Branco ES42117:527
    4Democrata GV42113:217
    5Vitoria ES42027:436
    6Real Noroeste50142:8-61


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa53208:3511
    2Agua Santa53028:449
    3Portuguesa RJ52217:258
    4America RJ51224:11-75
    5Madureira51136:8-24
    6Pouso Alegre51132:7-54


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba52309:549
    2Sampaio Correa FE52215:508
    3Velo Clube42115:327
    4Marica52125:507
    5Noroeste51224:5-15
    6Nova Iguacu40132:7-51


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville53207:3411
    2Cascavel52214:228
    3Santa Catarina52129:727
    4Cianorte42025:416
    5Sao Luiz41215:6-15
    6Guarany de Bage50141:9-81


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau54018:3512
    2Sao Joseense53113:2110
    3Marcilio Dias52213:218
    4Brasil de Pelotas52126:517
    5Azuriz50232:5-32
    6EC Sao Jose50232:7-52

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)