Ferroviário Fortaleza vs Sousa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sousa
Result
0:0
05/07/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
31
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Ferroviário Fortaleza
44.5%
Draw
28.9%
Sousa
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 26.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 25.6% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferroviário Fortaleza's form might have worsened.
  • Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sousa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.79)
    3.13
    (3.35)
    3.41
    (3.95)
    10.6%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Ferroviário is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferroviário won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sousa were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Sousa - Ferroviário Fortaleza 4:0
    26.03.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sousa 2:0
    Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
    Latest results of Sousa
    29.06.2025 Sousa - Horizonte 3:1
    15.06.2025 Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa 2:0
    11.06.2025 Sousa - América RN 1:0
    01.06.2025 América RN - Sousa 2:0
    25.05.2025 Sousa - Santa Cruz Recife 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2