Ferroviário Fortaleza vs Treze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze
28/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
413
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
07
Total shots
413
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
27
Corner Kicks
07
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Ciel (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', 1 - 1, Guilherme Lucena ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviário Fortaleza
45.3%
Draw
29.5%
Treze
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 29.2% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.
  • Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviário Fortaleza that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.45)
    3.09
    (3.1)
    3.61
    (2.63)
    9.9%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze?
  • Users Predictions: Ferroviário Fortaleza will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ferroviário Fortaleza will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 2.
    • Ferroviário has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Treze is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Treze - Ferroviário Fortaleza 1:0
    08.01.2025 Ferroviário Fortaleza - Treze 2:0
    Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
    Latest results of Treze
    08.06.2025 Central SC - Treze 1:0
    31.05.2025 Treze - Central SC 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC
    3ImperatrizManaus
    4America RNJuazeirense
    5AE AltosIndependencia
    6Santa CruzSergipe
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0