Feyenoord vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
22/01/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
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canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
hungaryHungarySport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 10
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.320.10
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
62
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
52
Passes
82% (411/502)75% (255/342)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.320.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.270.09
Total shots
184
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
71
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
266
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1213
Passes
82% (411/502)75% (255/342)
Long passes
49% (17/35)35% (21/60)
Passes in final third
70% (109/156)58% (44/76)
Crosses
29% (6/21)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.030.21
Throw ins
2817
Fouls
1312
Tackles
86% (19/22)64% (23/36)
Duels won
6264
Clearances
2736
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.092.27
Goals prevented
0.09-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Watanabe T. , Hadj Moussa A. (A),
  • 30', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
  • 37', Hwang In-Beom 🟨,
  • 39', Malic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Jatta S. , Kayombo A. ,
  • 62', Ueda A. , van Persie S. ,
  • 62', Bos J. , Plug J. ,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Hadj Moussa A. , Steijn S. (A),
  • 71', Hadj Moussa A. , Sauer L. ,
  • 75', Weinhandl L. , Rozga F. ,
  • 79', Steijn S. , Larin C. ,
  • 80', Malic A. , Mitchell J. ,
  • 80', Hwang In-Beom , Targhalline O. ,
  • 80', Malone M. , Hodl J. ,
  • 80', Horvat T. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 90', 3 - 0, Borges G. , van Persie S. (A),

Chances of winning


Feyenoord
66.7%
Draw
18.6%
Sturm Graz
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 18.4% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 17.7% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Feyenoord - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.4)
    5.09
    (5.13)
    6.47
    (6.73)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Feyenoord - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Sturm will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Feyenoord (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Feyenoord (1.79) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sturm (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Feyenoord is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Feyenoord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Feyenoord is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Feyenoord: Andreev P. (Inactive) Beelen T. (Broken Leg) Diarra G. (Ankle Injury) Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Moder J. (Back Injury) Read G. (Muscle Injury) Smal G. (Hip Injury) Trauner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Fosso R. (Inactive) Gazibegovic J. (Inactive) Grgic L. (Knee Injury) Lavalee D. (Knee Injury) Mamageishvili G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Feyenoord: Kraaijeveld T. (Injury) Zand S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Feyenoord won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Feyenoord - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    27.10.2022 Sturm Graz - Feyenoord 1:0
    15.09.2022 Feyenoord - Sturm Graz 6:0
    Latest results of Feyenoord
    11.01.2026 Heerenveen - Feyenoord 2:2
    21.12.2025 Feyenoord - Twente 1:1
    17.12.2025 Feyenoord - Heerenveen 2:3
    14.12.2025 Ajax - Feyenoord 2:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Draw
    Play Offs

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