Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 29
- Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (306/418) | 57% (148/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (306/418) | 57% (148/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 28% (20/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (89/138) | 44% (51/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 1, Plavotic T. ⚽, Lee Tae-Seok (A),
- 64', Maybach P. ↓, Wustinger F. ↑,
- 67', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
- 67', Malone M. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
- 70', Kayombo A. 🟨,
- 77', Saljic S. ↓, Markovic V. ↑,
- 78', Fischer M. ↓, Eggestein J. ↑,
- 80', Boateng K. 🟨,
- 81', Karic E. ↓, Wilson R. ↑,
- 81', Aiwu E. ↓, Gazibegovic J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Koller P. ⚽, Mamageishvili G. (A),
- 90+1', Lee Tae-Seok ↓, Schablas M. ↑,
- 90+1', Lee Kang-Hee ↓, Handl J. ↑,
- 90+3', Eggestein J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
42.7% | Draw
28.5% | Austria Wien
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Sturm Graz - Austria Wien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.36) |
3.28 ↓
(3.46) |
3.31 ↑
(2.89) |
6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Austria Wien?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Austria will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 1.
- Sturm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Austria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sturm will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Ankle Injury)
Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell J.
(Yellow Cards)
Rozga F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Austria: Eggestein J.
(Muscle Injury)
El Sheiwi Z.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Malic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Austria: Botic N.
(Broken ankle)
Sarkaria M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Austria Wien?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Austria Wien won against Sturm Graz?
Austria Wien has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Austria Wien were as follows:
15.03.2026
Austria Wien
-
Sturm Graz
2:5
14.12.2025
Austria Wien
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
14.09.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
0:1
27.04.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Austria Wien
0:1
23.04.2025
Austria Wien
-
Sturm Graz
2:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LASK | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:40 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 28 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
