Fgura United vs Santa Lucia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Adolphus M. ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Rahman A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 80', 2 - 1, Marshall A. N. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Fgura United
50.3%
Draw
23.8%
Santa Lucia
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 22.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 21.3% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fgura United's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Lucia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fgura United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Lucia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fgura United - Santa Lucia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.56)
    3.81
    (4.1)
    3.51
    (4.6)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Fgura United - Santa Lucia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fgura will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Santa Lucia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Santa Lucia (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Lucia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Fgura is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fgura won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fgura won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fgura United - Santa Lucia were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Fgura United - Santa Lucia 2:0
    25.01.2025 Fgura United - Santa Lucia 5:1
    Latest results of Fgura United
    Latest results of Santa Lucia
    20.12.2025 Santa Lucia - Balzan 1:1
    09.12.2025 Żurrieq - Santa Lucia 4:0
    06.12.2025 Sirens - Santa Lucia 1:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1TarxienBye
    2ByeGhajnsielem
    3PembrokeBye
    4ByeValletta
    5HamrunBye
    6Victoria HotspursXaghra3 : 1
    7FguraBye
    8SirensSanta Lucia1 : 2
    9BirkirkaraBye
    10ByeVictoria Wanderers
    11PietaBye
    12ByeMtarfa
    13FlorianaBye
    14ByeMarsaxlokk
    15ZabbarBye
    16MelitaXewkija0 : 1
    17St. AndrewsVittoriosa3 : 0
    18ByeGzira
    19HiberniansBye
    20ByeGudja
    21ZebbugQala Saints0 : 5
    22ByeMgarr
    23MostaBye
    24ByeMqabba FC
    25ZurrieqBye
    26ByeKercem Ajax
    27QormiBalzan1 : 4
    28NadurBirzebbuga1 : 4
    29SliemaBye
    30ByeSwieqi
    31MarsaBye
    32ByeNaxxar

    1/16-finals
    1TarxienGhajnsielem4 : 0
    2PembrokeValletta0 : 1
    3HamrunVictoria Hotspurs5 : 0
    4FguraSanta Lucia2 : 1
    5BirkirkaraVictoria Wanderers3 : 1
    6PietaMtarfa5 : 0
    7FlorianaMarsaxlokk1 : 0
    8ZabbarXewkija1 : 0
    9St. AndrewsGzira0 : 2
    10HiberniansGudja3 : 1
    11Qala SaintsMgarr0 : 2
    12MostaMqabba FC2 : 1
    13ZurrieqKercem Ajax4 : 0
    14BalzanBirzebbuga1 : 2
    15SliemaSwieqi1 : 2
    16MarsaNaxxar0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1TarxienValletta0 : 1
    2HamrunFgura5 : 0
    3BirkirkaraPieta2 : 0
    4FlorianaZabbar0 : 1
    5GziraHibernians3 : 2
    6MgarrMosta0 : 3
    7ZurrieqBirzebbuga3 : 0
    8SwieqiNaxxar2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1VallettaHamrun
    2BirkirkaraZabbar
    3GziraMosta2 : 1
    4ZurrieqNaxxar

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2GziraTBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2