Basel vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/05/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. Jakob-Park (Basel).

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS
Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport

Chances of winning

Basel
18.1%

Draw
22.4%

Fiorentina
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

25.4%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

24.7%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Basel - Fiorentina Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (3.85)	4.22 ↑ (3.7)	1.6 ↓ (1.88)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Basel - Fiorentina?

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
Basel has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a chance of final (46%), a small chance of win league (9%).
Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a good chance of final (54%), a chance of win league (30%).
This event has quality 52, very big importance 100, big match rating 76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Recently Basel have a series of guest games.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Basel: Comas A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Fiorentina: Sirigu S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cabral A. (Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Basel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Basel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Fiorentina?

Basel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Basel?

Fiorentina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Fiorentina were as follows:

11.05.2023 Fiorentina - Basel 1:2

Latest results of Basel

14.05.2023 St. Gallen - Basel 6:1 ✺

11.05.2023 Fiorentina - Basel 1:2 ✺

07.05.2023 Basel - Zürich 0:2 ✺

23.04.2023 Basel - Luzern 0:2 ✺

20.04.2023 Nice - Basel 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Fiorentina

14.05.2023 Fiorentina - Udinese 2:0 ✺

11.05.2023 Fiorentina - Basel 1:2 ✺

07.05.2023 Napoli - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺

03.05.2023 Salernitana - Fiorentina 3:3 ✺

23.04.2023 Monza - Fiorentina 3:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Buducnost	Bye
2	Bye	Milsami
4	Bye	Virtus
5	Vikingur	Bye
7	Zalgiris	Bye
8	Bye	Linfield
9	TNS	Bye
10	Bye	Differdange
11	Levadia	Bye
12	Bye	Iberia 1999
13	O. Ljubljana	Bye
14	Bye	Inter Escaldes
15	Din. Minsk	Bye
16	Bye	Egnatia
17	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
18	Bye	SK Rapid
19	Dundee Utd	Bye
20	Bye	UNA Strassen
21	Aktobe	Bye
22	Bye	Sparta Prague
23	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
24	Bye	U. Cluj
25	Ilves	Bye
26	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
27	Vaduz	Bye
28	Bye	Dungannon
29	Lugano	Bye
32	Bye	Celje
33	Radnicki 1923	Bye
34	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
35	Kosice	Bye
36	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
37	Riga FC	Bye
38	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
39	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
40	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
41	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
42	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
43	HB Torshavn	Bye
44	Bye	Brondby
45	Zira	Bye
46	Bye	Hajduk Split
47	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
48	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
49	Anderlecht	Bye
52	Bye	Sheriff Tiraspol
53	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
54	Bye	Lausanne
55	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
56	Bye	FC Astana
57	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
58	Bye	Prishtina
59	Varazdin	Bye
60	Bye	Santa Clara
61	Aris	Bye
62	Bye	Puskas Academy
63	AEK Athens FC	Bye
64	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
65	Viking	Bye
66	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
67	Cherno More	Bye
68	Bye	Basaksehir
69	Araz	Bye
70	Bye	Aris
71	Omonia	Bye
72	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
73	FC Ballkani	Bye
74	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
75	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
76	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
77	Rakow	Bye
78	Bye	Zilina
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	AIK	Bye
82	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
83	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
84	Bye	Gyor
85	FK Sarajevo	Bye
86	Bye	Univ. Craiova
87	Hibernians	Bye
88	Bye	Trnava
89	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
90	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
91	Paks	Bye
92	Bye	Maribor
93	Levski Sofia	Bye
95	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
96	Bye	Sabah Baku
97	Silkeborg	Bye
98	Bye	KA Akureyri
99	Novi Pazar	Bye
100	Bye	Jagiellonia
101	Oleksandriya	Bye
102	Bye	Partizan
104	Bye	Hibernian
105	Ostrava	Bye
107	Austria Vienna	Bye
108	Bye	Spaeri
109	Rosenborg	Bye
110	Bye	Banga
111	Hammarby	Bye
112	Bye	Charleroi
113	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
114	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
116	Bye	Besiktas
117	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
118	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
119	Arda	Bye
120	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Buducnost	Milsami	1 : 2, 0 : 0
2	Bye	Virtus
3	Vikingur	Bye
4	Zalgiris	Linfield	0 : 2, 0 : 0
5	TNS	Differdange	0 : 1, 0 : 1
6	Levadia	Iberia 1999	2 : 2, 1 : 0
7	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes	1 : 1, 4 : 2
8	Din. Minsk	Egnatia	0 : 1, 0 : 2
9	Decic	SK Rapid	2 : 4, 0 : 2
10	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen	1 : 0, 1 : 0
11	Aktobe	Sparta Prague	0 : 4, 2 : 1
12	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj	2 : 1, 0 : 0
13	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar	0 : 5, 4 : 3
14	Vaduz	Dungannon	3 : 0, 0 : 1
15	Lugano	Bye
16	Bye	Celje
17	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik	0 : 1, 0 : 0
18	Kosice	Neman	1 : 1, 2 : 3
19	Riga FC	Dila Gori	3 : 3, 2 : 1
20	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem	2 : 5, 1 : 2
21	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 : 4, 2 : 1
22	HB Torshavn	Brondby	0 : 1, 1 : 1
23	Zira	Hajduk Split	1 : 2, 1 : 1
24	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana	1 : 1, 1 : 2
25	Anderlecht	Bye
26	Bye	Sheriff Tiraspol
27	Vardar	Lausanne	0 : 5, 2 : 1
28	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana	0 : 2, 1 : 1
29	Larne	Prishtina	2 : 1, 0 : 0
30	Varazdin	Santa Clara	0 : 2, 2 : 1
31	Aris	Puskas Academy	2 : 0, 3 : 2
32	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva	0 : 0, 1 : 0
33	Viking	Koper	5 : 3, 7 : 0
34	Cherno More	Basaksehir	0 : 4, 0 : 1
35	Araz	Aris	2 : 2, 2 : 1
36	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi	4 : 0, 1 : 0
37	FC Ballkani	Floriana	1 : 1, 4 : 2
38	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers	0 : 0, 0 : 4
39	Rakow	Zilina	3 : 1, 3 : 0
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa	0 : 3, 1 : 1
41	AIK	Paide	6 : 0, 2 : 0
42	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor	1 : 3, 2 : 1
43	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova	0 : 4, 2 : 1
44	Hibernians	Trnava	1 : 5, 1 : 2
45	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma	4 : 1, 1 : 2
46	Paks	Maribor	1 : 1, 1 : 0
47	Levski Sofia	Bye
48	Petrocub	Sabah Baku	1 : 4, 0 : 2
49	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri	3 : 2, 1 : 1
50	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia	1 : 3, 1 : 2
51	Oleksandriya	Partizan	0 : 4, 0 : 2
52	Bye	Hibernian
53	Ostrava	Bye
54	Austria Vienna	Spaeri	5 : 0, 2 : 0
55	Rosenborg	Banga	2 : 0, 5 : 0
56	Hammarby	Charleroi	2 : 1, 0 : 0
57	St. Patricks	Kalju	2 : 2, 1 : 0
58	Bye	Besiktas
59	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur	2 : 1, 1 : 1
60	Arda	HJK	3 : 2, 0 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Milsami	Virtus
2	Vikingur	Linfield
3	Differdange	Levadia
4	O. Ljubljana	Egnatia
5	SK Rapid	Dundee Utd
6	Sparta Prague	Ararat-Armenia
7	AZ Alkmaar	Vaduz
8	Lugano	Celje
9	Klaksvik	Neman
10	Riga FC	Beitar Jerusalem
11	Vikingur Reykjavik	Brondby
12	Hajduk Split	Dinamo Tirana
13	Anderlecht	Sheriff Tiraspol
14	Lausanne	FC Astana
15	Larne	Santa Clara
16	Aris	AEK Athens FC
17	Viking	Basaksehir
18	Araz	Omonia
19	FC Ballkani	Shamrock Rovers
20	Rakow	Maccabi Haifa
21	AIK	Gyor
22	Univ. Craiova	Trnava
23	Polissya Zhytomyr	Paks
24	Levski Sofia	Sabah Baku
25	Silkeborg	Jagiellonia
26	Partizan	Hibernian
27	Ostrava	Austria Vienna
28	Rosenborg	Hammarby
29	St. Patricks	Besiktas
30	Kauno Zalgiris	Arda