Result
1:3
18/05/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS
- Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Sport |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Basel
18.1% | Draw
22.4% | Fiorentina
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Basel - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.21 ↑
(3.85) |
4.22 ↑
(3.7) |
1.6 ↓
(1.88) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Basel - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
- Basel has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a chance of final (46%), a small chance of win league (9%).
- Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a good chance of final (54%), a chance of win league (30%).
- This event has quality 52, very big importance 100, big match rating 76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Basel have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Basel: Comas A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Sirigu S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cabral A.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Basel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Basel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Fiorentina?
Basel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Basel?
Fiorentina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Fiorentina were as follows:
11.05.2023
Fiorentina
-
Basel
1:2
Latest results of Fiorentina
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
