Result
1:3
18/05/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS
- Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Sport |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Basel
18.1% | Draw
22.4% | Fiorentina
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Basel - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.21 ↑
(3.85) |
4.22 ↑
(3.7) |
1.6 ↓
(1.88) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Basel - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 91.77%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
- Basel has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a chance of final (46%), a small chance of win league (9%).
- Fiorentina has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a good chance of final (54%), a chance of win league (30%).
- This event has quality 52, very big importance 100, big match rating 76. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Basel have a series of guest games.
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Basel: Comas A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Sirigu S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Cabral A.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Basel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Basel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Fiorentina?
Basel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Basel?
Fiorentina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Fiorentina were as follows:
11.05.2023
Fiorentina
-
Basel
1:2
Latest results of Fiorentina
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
