Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 23
- Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Indonesia | ANTV, Vidio |
 Iraq | Al Rabiaa Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tanzania | ZBC 2 Tanzania |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (423/482) | 85% (357/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (423/482) | 85% (357/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (99/126) | 66% (48/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Vergara A. ⚽, Meret A. (A),
- 30', Di Lorenzo G. ↓, Olivera M. ↑,
- 44', Fabbian G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Fabbian G. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Gutierrez M. ⚽, Vergara A. (A),
- 54', Buongiorno A. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Solomon M. ⚽,
- 70', Brescianini M. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
- 70', Gosens R. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
- 70', Solomon M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 79', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
- 84', Vergara A. ↓, Giovane ↑,
- 90+1', Hojlund R. ↓, Lukaku R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Napoli
49.7% | Draw
28.9% | Fiorentina
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napoli's form might have worsened.Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Napoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Napoli - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.66) |
3.32 ↓
(3.71) |
4.48 ↓
(5.55) |
4.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Napoli - Fiorentina?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Fiorentina (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Napoli (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Napoli will win
(61 of 74 users predict this - 82.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.76% – 91.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli will win (39 of 39 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 46 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 40 - 87%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 13%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Napoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Napoli is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Napoli: Anguissa F.
(Thigh Injury)
David Neres
(Ankle Injury)
De Bruyne K.
(Thigh Injury)
Gilmour B.
(Groin Injury)
Politano M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Napoli: Mazzocchi P.
(Concussion)
Milinkovic-Savic V.
(Muscle Injury)
Rrahmani A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Parisi F.
(Thigh Injury)
Piccoli R.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Fiorentina?
Napoli has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Napoli?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Fiorentina were as follows:
13.09.2025
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
1:3
09.03.2025
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
2:1
04.01.2025
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
0:3
17.05.2024
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
2:2
18.01.2024
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
3:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80:31 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:29 | 28 | 64 |
| 5 | Como | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 61 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 48 |
| 9 | Bologna | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Udinese | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:46 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 | Parma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 29 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23:56 | -33 | 19 |
| 20 | Pisa | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24:61 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
