Fiorentina vs Cremonese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 18
  • Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC 2 Tanzania
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.73
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
86% (443/518)71% (201/283)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.95
Total shots
226
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
439
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
86% (443/518)71% (201/283)
Long passes
48% (20/42)33% (17/51)
Passes in final third
78% (144/185)37% (19/51)
Crosses
6% (2/36)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.45
Throw-ins
2815
Fouls
1019
Tackles
33% (3/9)38% (3/8)
Duels won
4031
Clearances
1948
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.951.84
Goals prevented
0.950.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Bondo W. 🟨,
  • 29', Bondo W. , Grassi A. ,
  • 42', Payero M. 🟨,
  • 42', Dodo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Vandeputte J. , Vazquez F. ,
  • 66', Parisi F. , Solomon M. ,
  • 66', Ranieri L. , Gosens R. ,
  • 75', Payero M. , Zerbin A. ,
  • 75', Bonazzoli F. , Sanabria A. ,
  • 76', Vardy J. , Moumbagna F. ,
  • 76', Ndour C. , Fortini N. ,
  • 84', Gudmundsson A. , Kean M. ,
  • 85', Mandragora R. , Nicolussi Caviglia H. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Kean M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
55%
Draw
25.4%
Cremonese
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 26.1% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 28.3% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Fiorentina - Cremonese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.79)
    3.75
    (3.64)
    4.82
    (4.59)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Cremonese?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Cremonese will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 38.2%69.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Cremonese (4.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 12).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Groin Injury) Sarmiento J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Fazzini J. (Ankle Injury) Kean M. (Personal Reasons) Richardson A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Cremonese were as follows:
    05.04.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    12.03.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0
    21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1
    14.12.2025 Fiorentina - Verona 1:2
    11.12.2025 Fiorentina - Dynamo Kyiv 2:1
    Latest results of Cremonese
    28.12.2025 Cremonese - Napoli 0:2
    20.12.2025 Lazio - Cremonese 0:0
    13.12.2025 Torino - Cremonese 1:0
    07.12.2025 Cremonese - Lecce 2:0
    01.12.2025 Bologna - Cremonese 1:3
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter27221464:214367
    2AC Milan27169243:202357
    3Napoli27165641:281353
    4AS Roma27163837:191851
    5Como27139544:202448
    6Juventus27138646:281847
    7Atalanta27129637:241345
    8Bologna271161036:32439
    9Sassuolo271151134:36-238
    10Udinese271051231:39-835
    11Lazio27810926:27-134
    12Parma27891020:32-1233
    13Cagliari27791129:36-730
    14Torino27861327:47-2030
    15Genoa27691232:39-727
    16Fiorentina27591330:42-1224
    17Cremonese27591321:38-1724
    18Lecce27661518:36-1824
    19Pisa271121420:44-2415
    20Verona27291620:48-2815

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B