Inter Milan vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 9
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
vietnamVietnamON Football

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.770.77
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
87% (489/563)80% (257/322)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.770.77
xG on target (xGOT)
3.750.32
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
197
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
4120
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
87% (489/563)80% (257/322)
Long passes
72% (41/57)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
76% (147/193)60% (42/70)
Crosses
43% (12/28)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.55
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
1116
Tackles
74% (14/19)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5340
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
220
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.323.75
Goals prevented
0.320.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Viti M. 🟨,
  • 63', Sohm S. , Fagioli N. ,
  • 63', Gudmundsson A. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 65', Esposito F. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Calhanoglu H. , Barella N. (A),
  • 71', 2 - 0, Sucic P. , Martinez L. (A),
  • 76', Mandragora R. , Dzeko E. ,
  • 77', Esposito F. , Bonny A. ,
  • 77', Dumfries D. , Carlos Augusto ,
  • 78', Gosens R. , Fortini N. ,
  • 85', Barella N. , Zielinski P. ,
  • 86', Viti M. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 0, Calhanoglu H. (Pen),
  • 89', Bastoni A. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 89', Martinez L. , Luis Henrique ,

Chances of winning


Inter Milan
69.3%
Draw
19.1%
Fiorentina
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 19.2% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8% 18.1% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Inter Milan - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.37)
    5.01
    (4.92)
    8.21
    (8.3)
    4.1%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Inter Milan - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 64 - 90.1%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 3 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 83.2%97%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Inter (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5, 1st Half - Inter (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Inter (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Inter (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Fiorentina (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Inter (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Milan will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Inter (votes: 30 - 90.9%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 4.
    • Inter is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fiorentina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Inter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Inter is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter: Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Martinez J. (Personal Reasons) Mkhitaryan H. (Muscle Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury) Thuram M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Inter will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:27. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
    10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    06.02.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 3:0
    28.01.2024 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 0:1
    03.09.2023 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 4:0
    24.05.2023 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    25.10.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 3:1
    18.10.2025 Roma - Inter Milan 0:1
    04.10.2025 Inter Milan - Cremonese 4:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    26.10.2025 Fiorentina - Bologna 2:2
    23.10.2025 Rapid Wien - Fiorentina 0:3
    19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    05.10.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 1:2
    02.10.2025 Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc 2:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B