Fiorentina vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

Serie A - Round 30
Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 4 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.28	1.32
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
3	5
Passes
84% (321/382)	86% (497/575)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
2.28	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.65	1.98
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
3	5
Shots inside the box
9	11
Shots outside the box
7	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
21	29
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
12	16
Passes
84% (321/382)	86% (497/575)
Long passes
45% (23/51)	51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
74% (64/86)	73% (102/140)
Crosses
6% (1/17)	41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	1.01
Throw ins
11	17
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
75% (3/4)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
28	50
Clearances
32	22
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.98	1.65
Goals prevented
0.98	0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Esposito F. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
42', Dimarco F. 🟨,
44', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Carlos Augusto ↓, Acerbi F. ↑,
55', Brescianini M. 🟨,
60', Ndour C. 🟨,
62', Barella N. 🟨,
65', Kean M. 🟨,
68', Thuram M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
69', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
69', Parisi F. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Ndour C. ⚽,
83', Barella N. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
86', Kean M. ↓, Piccoli R. ↑,
86', Dumfries D. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
90+1', Fagioli N. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
90+1', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
18.7%

Draw
23%

Inter Milan
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

23.2%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

22.8%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Fiorentina - Inter Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↑ (4.9)	4.15 ↑ (4.09)	1.65 ↑ (1.65)	4.2% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Inter Milan?

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 8 - 11.8%). Inter will win (votes: 51 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 64.7% – 85.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 - Fiorentina (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fiorentina (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Fiorentina (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Milan will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Inter (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.
Fiorentina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Inter has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Inter is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:40. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Inter Milan?

Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Inter Milan won against Fiorentina?

Inter Milan has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Inter Milan were as follows:

29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0

10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1

06.02.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 3:0

28.01.2024 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 0:1

03.09.2023 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 4:0

Latest results of Fiorentina

19.03.2026 Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

16.03.2026 Cremonese - Fiorentina 1:4 ✺

12.03.2026 Fiorentina - Raków Częstochowa 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

02.03.2026 Udinese - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Inter Milan

14.03.2026 Inter Milan - Atalanta 1:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Milan - Inter Milan 1:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Como - Inter Milan 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Inter Milan - Genoa 2:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	31	23	3	5	71:26	45	72
2	Napoli	31	20	5	6	47:30	17	65
3	AC Milan	31	18	9	4	47:24	23	63
4	Como	31	16	10	5	53:22	31	58
5	Juventus	31	16	9	6	54:29	25	57
6	AS Roma	31	17	3	11	42:28	14	54
7	Atalanta	31	14	11	6	44:27	17	53
8	Bologna	31	13	6	12	40:37	3	45
9	Lazio	31	11	11	9	32:29	3	44
10	Sassuolo	31	12	6	13	38:41	-3	42
11	Udinese	31	11	7	13	35:42	-7	40
12	Torino	31	10	6	15	35:53	-18	36
13	Parma	31	8	11	12	22:39	-17	35
14	Genoa	31	8	9	14	36:44	-8	33
15	Fiorentina	31	7	11	13	36:44	-8	32
16	Cagliari	31	7	9	15	32:44	-12	30
17	Cremonese	31	6	9	16	26:46	-20	27
18	Lecce	31	7	6	18	21:43	-22	27
19	Verona	31	3	9	19	22:53	-31	18
20	Pisa	31	2	12	17	23:55	-32	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B