Fiorentina vs Inter Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 30
  • Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 4 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV7
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.281.32
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
35
Passes
84% (321/382)86% (497/575)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
2.281.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.98
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
35
Shots inside the box
911
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2129
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free kicks
1216
Passes
84% (321/382)86% (497/575)
Long passes
45% (23/51)51% (30/59)
Passes in final third
74% (64/86)73% (102/140)
Crosses
6% (1/17)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.01
Throw ins
1117
Fouls
1612
Tackles
75% (3/4)50% (8/16)
Duels won
2850
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.981.65
Goals prevented
0.980.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Esposito F. , Barella N. (A),
  • 42', Dimarco F. 🟨,
  • 44', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Carlos Augusto , Acerbi F. ,
  • 55', Brescianini M. 🟨,
  • 60', Ndour C. 🟨,
  • 62', Barella N. 🟨,
  • 65', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 68', Thuram M. , Bonny A. ,
  • 69', Calhanoglu H. , Frattesi D. ,
  • 69', Parisi F. , Harrison J. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Ndour C. ,
  • 83', Barella N. , Sucic P. ,
  • 86', Kean M. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 86', Dumfries D. , Luis Henrique ,
  • 90+1', Fagioli N. , Fabbian G. ,
  • 90+1', Gudmundsson A. , Comuzzo P. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
18.7%
Draw
23%
Inter Milan
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 23.2% 57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 22.8% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Fiorentina - Inter Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.2
    (4.9)
    4.15
    (4.09)
    1.65
    (1.65)
    4.2%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Inter Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 8 - 11.8%). Inter will win (votes: 51 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 13.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 64.7%85.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Fiorentina (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Fiorentina (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Fiorentina (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Inter (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.
    • Fiorentina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Inter has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Inter is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:40. (average 1.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Inter Milan were as follows:
    29.10.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 3:0
    10.02.2025 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    06.02.2025 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 3:0
    28.01.2024 Fiorentina - Inter Milan 0:1
    03.09.2023 Inter Milan - Fiorentina 4:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    16.03.2026 Cremonese - Fiorentina 1:4
    08.03.2026 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    02.03.2026 Udinese - Fiorentina 3:0
    Latest results of Inter Milan
    14.03.2026 Inter Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    08.03.2026 Milan - Inter Milan 1:0
    03.03.2026 Como - Inter Milan 0:0
    28.02.2026 Inter Milan - Genoa 2:0
    24.02.2026 Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter ✔ 34254580:314979
    2Napoli34216752:331969
    3AC Milan341910548:272167
    4Juventus341810657:292864
    5Como341710759:283161
    6AS Roma341941148:291961
    7Atalanta341412847:321554
    8Lazio3412121037:33448
    9Bologna341461442:41148
    10Sassuolo341371441:44-346
    11Udinese341281441:46-544
    12Parma3410121225:40-1542
    13Torino341181539:56-1741
    14Genoa341091540:48-839
    15Fiorentina348131338:45-737
    16Cagliari34991636:49-1336
    17Lecce34781922:46-2429
    18Cremonese346101826:51-2528
    19Verona343102123:56-3319
    20Pisa342122024:61-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )