Result
3:0
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 11
- Referee: Castellone D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/355) | 80% (282/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/355) | 80% (282/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 46% (17/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 57% (54/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 3.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', Baltrip-Reyes C. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Goldoni E. ⚽, Oliviero E. (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Piemonte M. ⚽, Goldoni E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Le Bihan C. ↓, Benoit A. ↑,
- 60', Curmark F. 🟨,
- 61', Orsi B. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,
- 61', Severini E. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 0, Curmark F. (Own goal),
- 65', Simonetti F. 🟨,
- 68', Simonetti F. ↓, Martin E. ↑,
- 68', Baltrip-Reyes C. ↓, Mesjasz M. ↑,
- 69', Faerge E. ↓, Filangeri M. ↑,
- 69', Cherubini M. ↓, Wijnants S. ↑,
- 80', Monnecchi M. ↓, Cafferata F. ↑,
- 80', Piemonte M. ↓, Cesarini E. ↑,
- 83', Janogy M. ↓, Tomassoni E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lazio
22.3% | Draw
26.3% | Fiorentina
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lazio - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(2.95) |
3.5 ↑
(3.43) |
1.79 ↓
(2.07) |
8.8%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fiorentina might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lazio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lazio won against Fiorentina?
Lazio has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Lazio?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:
25.01.2025
Lazio
-
Fiorentina
2:0
19.10.2024
Fiorentina
-
Lazio
3:2
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 29:14 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lazio W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Como W | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Ternana W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 11 |
| 11 | Parma W | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13:31 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
