Lazio vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Women - Round 11
  • Referee: Castellone D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
usaUsaDAZN USA

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.360.60
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
35
Passes
80% (285/355)80% (282/351)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.360.60
xG on target (xGOT)
3.000.91
Total shots
147
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
61
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
30
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
117
Passes
80% (285/355)80% (282/351)
Long passes
52% (25/48)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
64% (35/55)57% (54/94)
Crosses
36% (4/11)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.63
Throw ins
1633
Fouls
711
Tackles
86% (12/14)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4631
Clearances
1711
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
0.913.00
Goals prevented
0.911.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', Baltrip-Reyes C. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Goldoni E. , Oliviero E. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Piemonte M. , Goldoni E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Le Bihan C. , Benoit A. ,
  • 60', Curmark F. 🟨,
  • 61', Orsi B. , Woldvik E. ,
  • 61', Severini E. , Tryggvadottir K. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Curmark F. (Own goal),
  • 65', Simonetti F. 🟨,
  • 68', Simonetti F. , Martin E. ,
  • 68', Baltrip-Reyes C. , Mesjasz M. ,
  • 69', Faerge E. , Filangeri M. ,
  • 69', Cherubini M. , Wijnants S. ,
  • 80', Monnecchi M. , Cafferata F. ,
  • 80', Piemonte M. , Cesarini E. ,
  • 83', Janogy M. , Tomassoni E. ,

Chances of winning


Lazio
22.3%
Draw
26.3%
Fiorentina
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 26.2% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 26.1% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lazio - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.13
    (2.95)
    3.5
    (3.43)
    1.79
    (2.07)
    8.8%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fiorentina might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lazio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Fiorentina were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Lazio - Fiorentina 2:0
    19.10.2024 Fiorentina - Lazio 3:2
    Latest results of Lazio
    21.01.2026 Lazio - Roma 0:0
    18.01.2026 Ternana - Lazio 1:0
    21.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1
    14.12.2025 Lazio - Parma 1:0
    08.12.2025 Sassuolo - Lazio 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    20.01.2026 Milan - Fiorentina 1:1
    17.01.2026 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    21.12.2025 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2
    13.12.2025 Como - Fiorentina 1:3
    07.12.2025 Fiorentina - Ternana 1:0
    Italian Serie A Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma W17124132:161640
    2Inter W17104338:172134
    3Juventus W1785422:111129
    4Lazio W1783623:19427
    5Napoli W1775523:20326
    6Fiorentina W1775524:23126
    7Como W1774617:16125
    8AC Milan W1774625:23225
    9Ternana W17341016:32-1613
    10Sassuolo W17341013:27-1413
    11Parma W1719710:21-1112
    12Genoa W17231214:32-189

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Women