Result
0:1
14/02/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 14
- Referee: Teghille V. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | W-sport |
 Asia | W-Sport Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | W-sport |
 France | DAZN France, W-Sport |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Luxembourg | W-Sport |
 Netherlands | W-Sport |
 Portugal | DAZN / App, W-Sport |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | W-Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (225/322) | 65% (169/260) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (225/322) | 65% (169/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/111) | 52% (46/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Janogy M. ⚽, Bredgaard S. (A),
- 28', Cherubini M. 🟨,
- 36', Bredgaard S. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
- 37', Curmark F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kyvag T. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
- 58', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
- 69', Stokic S. ↓, Sesay M. ↑,
- 70', Kamczyk E. ↓, Appiah K. ↑,
- 72', Eiriksdottir H. ↓, Omarsdottir I. ↑,
- 72', Cherubini M. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
- 76', Bonfantini A. 🟨,
- 85', Keijzer M. ↓, Mascarello M. ↑,
- 86', Curmark F. ↓, Orsi B. ↑,
- 90+1', Filangeri M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fiskerstrand C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milan
36.1% | Draw
27.3% | Fiorentina
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1%)
Milan - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.48) |
3.36 ↓
(3.47) |
2.51 ↑
(2.47) |
9%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milan - Fiorentina?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 1.
- Milan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Fiorentina?
Milan has won 3 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Milan?
Fiorentina has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
29.01.2026
Fiorentina
-
Milan
1:0
20.01.2026
Milan
-
Fiorentina
1:1
18.10.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
4:3
12.04.2025
Milan
-
Fiorentina
5:3
02.03.2025
Fiorentina
-
Milan
0:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W ✔ | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 39:19 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | Inter W ✔ | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 12 | 35 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | AC Milan W | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 29 |
| 6 | Lazio W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 | Fiorentina W | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Como W | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 26 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 10 | Parma W | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Ternana W | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
AS Roma W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
Inter W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
