Monza vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
  • Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoESPN 2
moldovaMoldovaICE TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.29
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1011
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
926
Offsides
01
Fouls
269
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
1215
Touches in the Opposition Box
1033
Passes
79% (245/310)88% (519/587)
Passes in the final third
64% (45/70)73% (108/147)
Crosses
38% (3/8)18% (4/22)
Tackles
77% (10/13)72% (13/18)
Clearances Total
3013
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Ciurria P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 46', Mari P. , Martins K. ,
  • 58', Caprari G. , Djuric M. ,
  • 61', Turati S. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Maldini D. , Pereira P. (A),
  • 64', Richardson A. , Folorunsho M. ,
  • 68', Colpani A. , Ikone J. ,
  • 68', Gosens R. , Parisi F. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Beltran L. (Pen),
  • 75', Sottil R. , Kouame C. ,
  • 77', Pereira P. 🟨,
  • 87', Ciurria P. 🟨,
  • 87', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 87', Bondo W. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Maldini D. , Petagna A. ,
  • 90+3', Bianco A. , Valoti M. ,
  • 90+3', Akpa Akpro J. , Vignato S. ,

Chances of winning


Monza
21.7%
Draw
27.3%
Fiorentina
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 26.6% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 24.3% 45.7%

Monza - Fiorentina Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.4
(4.08)
3.5
(3.58)
1.88
(1.91)
4.6%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 10 - 9.4%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 80 - 75.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 15.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 67.3%83.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 1.
    • Monza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Monza: Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Red Card) Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C. (Coach's decision) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Gudmundsson A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Fiorentina were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Fiorentina - Monza 2:2
    13.05.2024 Fiorentina - Monza 2:1
    22.12.2023 Monza - Fiorentina 0:1
    23.04.2023 Monza - Fiorentina 3:2
    04.01.2023 Fiorentina - Monza 1:1
    Latest results of Monza
    05.01.2025 Monza - Cagliari 1:2
    28.12.2024 Parma - Monza 2:1
    22.12.2024 Monza - Juventus 1:2
    15.12.2024 Lecce - Monza 2:1
    09.12.2024 Monza - Udinese 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3
    29.12.2024 Juventus - Fiorentina 2:2
    23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2
    15.12.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AC Milan1384119:91028
    2AS Roma1290315:6927
    3Napoli1281319:11825
    4Inter1280426:131324
    5Bologna1273221:81324
    6Como1366119:71224
    7Juventus1365217:12523
    8Lazio1353515:10518
    9Udinese1353514:20-618
    10Sassuolo1352616:16017
    11Cremonese1235413:16-314
    12Torino1235411:21-1014
    13Atalanta1227314:14013
    14Cagliari1325613:19-611
    15Genoa1325613:20-711
    16Parma132569:17-811
    17Pisa1217410:16-610
    18Lecce122468:16-810
    19Fiorentina1206610:19-96
    20Verona130678:20-126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B