Result
2:1
13/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | ESPN 2 |
 Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 India | GXR World |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | ESPN 2 |
 Moldova | ICE TV |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (245/310) | 88% (519/587) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (45/70) | 73% (108/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 18% (4/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 72% (13/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Ciurria P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
- 46', Mari P. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
- 58', Caprari G. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
- 61', Turati S. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Pereira P. (A),
- 64', Richardson A. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
- 68', Colpani A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
- 68', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Beltran L. (Pen),
- 75', Sottil R. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
- 77', Pereira P. 🟨,
- 87', Ciurria P. 🟨,
- 87', Ranieri L. 🟨,
- 87', Bondo W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Maldini D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 90+3', Bianco A. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 90+3', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
21.7% | Draw
27.3% | Fiorentina
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monza - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.4 ↑
(4.08) |
3.5 ↓
(3.58) |
1.88 ↓
(1.91) |
4.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
106 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 10 - 9.4%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 80 - 75.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 67.3% – 83.7%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 1.
- Monza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Cragno A.
(Shoulder Injury)
D'Ambrosio D.
(Red Card)
Gagliardini R.
(Thigh Injury)
Pessina M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C.
(Coach's decision)
Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Gudmundsson A.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Fiorentina?
Monza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Monza?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Fiorentina were as follows:
01.09.2024
Fiorentina
-
Monza
2:2
13.05.2024
Fiorentina
-
Monza
2:1
22.12.2023
Monza
-
Fiorentina
0:1
23.04.2023
Monza
-
Fiorentina
3:2
04.01.2023
Fiorentina
-
Monza
1:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 62:21 | 41 | 64 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 41:20 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Napoli | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 34:16 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Juventus | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 46 |
| 6 | Como | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 45 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Lazio | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Udinese | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 | Parma | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 32 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Genoa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:37 | -5 | 27 |
| 15 | Torino | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 26 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 20:43 | -23 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 26 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 19:46 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
