Result
2:1
13/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | ESPN 2 |
Asia | STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | ESPN 2 |
Moldova | ICE TV |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Inter |
Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.62 | 1.29 |
Ball Possession |
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34% | 66% |
Goal Attempts |
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10 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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5 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 26 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Fouls |
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26 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 15 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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10 | 33 |
Passes |
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79% (245/310) | 88% (519/587) |
Passes in the final third |
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64% (45/70) | 73% (108/147) |
Crosses |
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38% (3/8) | 18% (4/22) |
Tackles |
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77% (10/13) | 72% (13/18) |
Clearances Total |
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30 | 13 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Ciurria P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
- 46', Mari P. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
- 58', Caprari G. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
- 61', Turati S. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Maldini D. ⚽, Pereira P. (A),
- 64', Richardson A. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
- 68', Colpani A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
- 68', Gosens R. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Beltran L. (Pen),
- 75', Sottil R. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
- 77', Pereira P. 🟨,
- 87', Ciurria P. 🟨,
- 87', Ranieri L. 🟨,
- 87', Bondo W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Maldini D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 90+3', Bianco A. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 90+3', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza 21.7% | Draw 27.3% | Fiorentina 51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monza - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.4 ↑ (4.08) |
3.5 ↓ (3.58) |
1.88 ↓ (1.91) |
4.6% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
106 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 10 - 9.4%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 80 - 75.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 67.3% – 83.7%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 1.
- Monza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Cragno A.
(Shoulder Injury)
D'Ambrosio D.
(Red Card)
Gagliardini R.
(Thigh Injury)
Pessina M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C.
(Coach's decision)
Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Gudmundsson A.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Fiorentina?
Monza has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Monza?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Fiorentina were as follows:
01.09.2024
Fiorentina
-
Monza
2:2
13.05.2024
Fiorentina
-
Monza
2:1
22.12.2023
Monza
-
Fiorentina
0:1
23.04.2023
Monza
-
Fiorentina
3:2
04.01.2023
Fiorentina
-
Monza
1:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B