Result
1:2
02/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 12
- Referee: D'Eusanio F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | W-sport |
 Asia | W-Sport Asia |
 Belgium | W-sport |
 France | Molotov TV, W-Sport |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Luxembourg | W-Sport |
 Malaysia | Canal+ |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | W-Sport |
 Portugal | W-Sport |
 Turkey | W-Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (333/422) | 69% (205/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (333/422) | 69% (205/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (103/147) | 58% (37/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Floe C. ⚽, Banusic M. (A),
- 13', Pettenuzzo T. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 2, Banusic M. ⚽, Floe C. (A),
- 23', Faerge E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Curmark F. ↓, Severini E. ↑,
- 52', Banusic M. ↓, Kjolholdt S. ↑,
- 60', Filangeri M. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,
- 61', Orsi B. ↓, Cherubini M. ↑,
- 61', Bellucci M. ↓, Muth N. ↑,
- 61', Langella G. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,
- 62', Giordano M. ↓, Veletanlic E. ↑,
- 77', Lombardi E. ↓, Johansen O. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Omarsdottir I. ⚽, Woldvik E. (A),
- 83', Carcassi A. ↓, Faurskov L. ↑,
- 84', Sciabica M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bredgaard S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
53.4% | Draw
24.4% | Napoli
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Napoli's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fiorentina - Napoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.4) |
3.76 ↓
(4.57) |
4.15 ↓
(7.06) |
8.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Fiorentina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Napoli?
Fiorentina has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Fiorentina?
Napoli has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Napoli were as follows:
04.10.2025
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
1:0
16.11.2024
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
0:0
30.08.2024
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
1:0
13.01.2024
Napoli
-
Fiorentina
2:4
08.10.2023
Fiorentina
-
Napoli
2:0
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W ✔ | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 39:19 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | Inter W ✔ | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 12 | 35 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | AC Milan W | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 29 |
| 6 | Lazio W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 27 |
| 7 | Fiorentina W | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Como W | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 26 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 10 | Parma W | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | Ternana W | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16:38 | -22 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
AS Roma W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
Inter W is Qualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
