Result
0:2
21/04/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie A - Round 33
- Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | TV2 Sport X |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | TV4 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 217 | 604 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 126 | 513 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 68 | 134 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 19 | 62 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Distance Covered (km) |
|---|
| 107 | 106 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 45', Basic T. 🟨,
- 45', Sottil R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Ranieri L. 🟨,
- 61', Candreva A. 🟨,
- 63', Pirola L. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
- 68', Candreva A. ↓, Martegani A. ↑,
- 68', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
- 70', Castrovilli G. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
- 70', Lopez M. ↓, Arthur Melo ↑,
- 77', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 1, Kouame C. ⚽, Ranieri L. (A),
- 82', Kayode M. ↓, Faraoni D. ↑,
- 82', Duncan A. ↓, Mandragora R. ↑,
- 84', Sambia J. ↓, Zanoli A. ↑,
- 84', Basic T. ↓, Simy ↑,
- 87', Barak A. ↓, Milenkovic N. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, Ikone J. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
Chances of winning
Salernitana
17.6% | Draw
23.4% | Fiorentina
59.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Salernitana - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.41 ↑
(4.99) |
4.11 ↑
(4.1) |
1.63 ↓
(1.65) |
4.3%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Salernitana - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 58.7% – 88.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 10).
- Salernitana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Fiorentina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Fiorentina?
Salernitana has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Salernitana?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Fiorentina were as follows:
03.12.2023
Fiorentina
-
Salernitana
3:0
03.05.2023
Salernitana
-
Fiorentina
3:3
09.11.2022
Fiorentina
-
Salernitana
2:1
Latest results of Salernitana
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Udinese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Torino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
