Result
1:2
12/01/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/449) | 86% (490/568) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (73/108) | 76% (102/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/34) | 57% (4/7) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 58% (11/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 6 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Russo F. ⚽, Thorstvedt K. (A),
- 22', Amatucci L. 🟨,
- 30', Ghiglione P. 🟨,
- 30', Russo F. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Muharemovic T. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Cerri A. ⚽,
- 58', Russo F. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
- 62', Raimondo A. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
- 62', Maggiore G. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
- 71', Reine-Adelaide J. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
- 75', Ghion A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 75', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
- 75', Boloca D. ↓, Iannoni E. ↑,
- 81', Cerri A. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferrari G. M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Berardi D. ↓, Lovato M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salernitana
23.4% | Draw
26.1% | Sassuolo
50.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Salernitana - Sassuolo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.98 ↑
(3.77) |
3.6 ↓
(3.62) |
1.86 ↓
(1.9) |
6.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Salernitana - Sassuolo?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 48.9% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1.
- Salernitana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Sassuolo?
Salernitana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Salernitana?
Sassuolo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Sassuolo were as follows:
23.11.2024
Sassuolo
-
Salernitana
4:0
05.04.2024
Salernitana
-
Sassuolo
2:2
10.11.2023
Sassuolo
-
Salernitana
2:2
22.04.2023
Salernitana
-
Sassuolo
3:0
02.10.2022
Sassuolo
-
Salernitana
5:0
Latest results of Salernitana
Latest results of Sassuolo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
