Murata vs Fiorentino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Abouzziane S. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Labas J. , Isaraj A. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Ben Kacem M. , Evaristi M. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 3, Abouzziane S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 86', 1 - 4, Pesciarelli M. , Abouzziane S. (A),

Chances of winning


Murata
12.5%
Draw
16.2%
Fiorentino
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17% 16.3% 66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1% 15.4% 70.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Murata - Fiorentino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.23
    (5.43)
    5.6
    (5.64)
    1.27
    (1.38)
    10.6%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murata won 2.
    • Murata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fiorentino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Fiorentino is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Fiorentino will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Murata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Murata won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Murata - Fiorentino were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Fiorentino - Murata 3:0
    29.03.2025 Murata - Fiorentino 1:0
    01.12.2024 Fiorentino - Murata 1:0
    13.01.2024 Fiorentino - Murata 2:1
    11.04.2023 Murata - Fiorentino 2:1
    Latest results of Murata
    12.04.2026 Virtus - Murata 4:1
    08.04.2026 Murata - Tre Fiori 0:3
    21.03.2026 Pennarossa - Murata 2:0
    15.03.2026 Murata - Tre Penne 0:4
    07.03.2026 San Giovanni - Murata 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorentino
    11.04.2026 Fiorentino - Faetano 1:2
    21.03.2026 Fiorentino - AC Libertas 1:1
    15.03.2026 Cailungo - Fiorentino 1:3
    07.03.2026 Cosmos - Fiorentino 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Virtus (2)Bye
    2Juvenes/Dogana (9)Libertas (10)1 : 1
    3Folgore (5)Bye
    4ByeDomagnano (6)
    5Tre Penne (3)Bye
    6Cosmos (8)Pennarossa (11)3 : 0
    7La Fiorita (4)Bye
    8ByeFiorentino (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus (2)Juvenes/Dogana (9)
    2Folgore (5)Domagnano (6)1 : 0
    3Tre Penne (3)Cosmos (8)
    4La Fiorita (4)Fiorentino (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place