Novara vs Fiorenzuola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Novara - Fiorenzuola
Result
2:1
19/05/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Ongaro E. ,
  • 6', Cremonesi M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Oneto E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Morello M. , Alberti T. ,
  • 56', Corti N. , Kerrigan L. ,
  • 65', Nelli J. 🟨,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Bentivegna A. ,
  • 74', Bocic M. , Seck A. ,
  • 74', Nelli J. , Musatti M. ,
  • 81', Seck A. 🟨,
  • 85', Boccia S. , Cannavaro A. ,
  • 85', Bentivegna A. , Schiro T. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Alberti T. ,
  • 90+4', Migliardi F. , De Mori E. ,
  • 90+4', Urso O. , Valenti A. ,

Chances of winning


Novara
46.9%
Draw
29%
Fiorenzuola
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 26.5% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 25.5% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Novara's form might have worsened.
  • Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorenzuola's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Novara - Fiorenzuola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.66)
    3.19
    (3.48)
    3.83
    (5.05)
    8.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Novara - Fiorenzuola?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.
    • Novara is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fiorenzuola is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Novara is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Fiorenzuola were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Fiorenzuola - Novara 1:3
    28.04.2024 Novara - Fiorenzuola 2:0
    22.12.2023 Fiorenzuola - Novara 1:2
    03.10.2023 Fiorenzuola - Novara 2:3
    02.08.2023 Fiorenzuola - Novara 1:6
    Latest results of Novara
    12.05.2024 Fiorenzuola - Novara 1:3
    28.04.2024 Novara - Fiorenzuola 2:0
    20.04.2024 Triestina - Novara 2:2
    13.04.2024 Novara - Legnago Salus 2:0
    07.04.2024 Vicenza Virtus - Novara 2:1
    Latest results of Fiorenzuola
    12.05.2024 Fiorenzuola - Novara 1:3
    28.04.2024 Novara - Fiorenzuola 2:0
    20.04.2024 Fiorenzuola - Padova 1:1
    06.04.2024 Fiorenzuola - Alessandria 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1