Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 0.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
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17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (278/344) | 87% (446/514) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 0.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.81 | 0.42 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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20 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
81% (278/344) | 87% (446/514) |
Long passes |
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30% (13/43) | 53% (25/47) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (75/107) | 77% (95/124) |
Crosses |
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30% (7/23) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.64 | 0.83 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 9 |
Tackles |
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70% (16/23) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
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50 | 45 |
Clearances |
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27 | 14 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.42 | 1.81 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.58 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Romero L. (A),
- 39', Romero L. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Gerson (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Everton ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 61', Christian 🟨,
- 67', Pedro ↓, Michael ↑,
- 74', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
- 82', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 83', Wesley Franca ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 83', Gerson ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 83', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 88', Matheus Pereira ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 88', Wanderson ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 90+2', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+6', Gabriel Barbosa (Pen),
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro 21.6% | Draw 28.2% | Flamengo 50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Cruzeiro - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.39 ↑ (3.9) |
3.38 ↓ (3.41) |
1.89 ↓ (1.96) |
5.2% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
- Recent performances by Cruzeiro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Hamstring Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Flamengo?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Cruzeiro?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Flamengo were as follows:
06.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
30.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
19.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:2
27.05.2023
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet