Flamengo vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Cruzeiro
Result
0:0
02/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.87
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
87% (464/532)77% (261/338)
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.401.17
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2911
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1917
Passes
87% (464/532)77% (261/338)
Long passes
65% (34/52)49% (31/63)
Passes in final third
79% (143/180)72% (68/94)
Crosses
41% (12/29)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.28
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1719
Tackles
53% (8/15)86% (12/14)
Duels won
5341
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.170.40
Goals prevented
1.170.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Alex Sandro 🟨,
  • 14', Carrascal J. 🟨,
  • 18', Kaiki 🟨,
  • 20', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', William Furtado 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Samuel Lino , Bruno Henrique ,
  • 76', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
  • 77', Leo Pereira 🟨,
  • 80', Christian , Sinisterra L. ,
  • 82', Carrascal J. , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 82', de Arrascaeta G. , Pedro ,
  • 83', William Furtado 🟨,
  • 87', Matheus Pereira , Kaua Moraes ,
  • 87', Matheus Henrique , Eduardo ,
  • 87', Kaio Jorge , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 88', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
  • 90+5', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
58.8%
Draw
25%
Cruzeiro
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.9% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 29.2% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Flamengo - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.73)
    3.81
    (3.5)
    5.82
    (5)
    4.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - Cruzeiro?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Flamengo (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +1, 1st Half - Flamengo (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.75%98.49%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
    • Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cruzeiro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Flamengo is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Michael (Inactive) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Fagner (Broken Leg) Sinisterra L. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1
    06.11.2024 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 0:1
    30.06.2024 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 2:1
    19.10.2023 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 0:2
    27.05.2023 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    27.09.2025 Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro 2:0
    15.09.2025 Bahia - Cruzeiro 1:2
    30.08.2025 Cruzeiro - São Paulo 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ25167250:123855
    2Palmeiras24164439:192052
    3Cruzeiro26156539:192051
    4Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    5Mirassol261110542:281443
    6Bahia25117733:30340
    7Fluminense25115933:31238
    8Sao Paulo26108829:25438
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Corinthians27891029:32-333
    11Gremio27891028:33-533
    12Internacional26881032:38-632
    13Ceara25871023:24-131
    14Vasco26861238:38030
    15Atletico-MG25781022:29-729
    16Santos25771125:35-1028
    17Vitoria265101121:38-1725
    18Juventude25651420:46-2623
    19Fortaleza25561424:40-1621
    20Sport Recife24291318:37-1915

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet