Result
0:0
02/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/532) | 77% (261/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (464/532) | 77% (261/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 49% (31/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (143/180) | 72% (68/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 14', Carrascal J. 🟨,
- 18', Kaiki 🟨,
- 20', Romero L. 🟨,
- 45+1', William Furtado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 76', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
- 77', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 80', Christian ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
- 82', Carrascal J. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 82', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 83', William Furtado 🟨,
- 87', Matheus Pereira ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
- 87', Matheus Henrique ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 87', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 88', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 90+5', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
58.8% | Draw
25% | Cruzeiro
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Flamengo - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.73) |
3.81 ↑
(3.5) |
5.82 ↑
(5) |
4.5%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Cruzeiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Flamengo (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Michael
(Inactive)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Sinisterra L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Cruzeiro?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Flamengo?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Cruzeiro were as follows:
04.05.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
2:1
06.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
30.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
19.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:2
27.05.2023
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
