Cruzeiro vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Flamengo
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.18
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
81% (278/344)87% (446/514)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.42
Total shots
176
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
918
Passes
81% (278/344)87% (446/514)
Long passes
30% (13/43)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
70% (75/107)77% (95/124)
Crosses
30% (7/23)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.83
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
189
Tackles
70% (16/23)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
2714
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
39
xGOT faced
0.421.81
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge , Romero L. (A),
  • 39', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. , Gerson (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Everton , Bruno Henrique ,
  • 61', Christian 🟨,
  • 67', Pedro , Michael ,
  • 74', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
  • 82', Lucas Silva 🟨,
  • 83', Wesley Franca , Varela G. ,
  • 83', Gerson , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 83', de Arrascaeta G. , Juninho ,
  • 88', Matheus Pereira , Gabriel Barbosa ,
  • 88', Wanderson , Eduardo ,
  • 90+2', Villalba L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kaio Jorge , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 90+6', Gabriel Barbosa (Pen),
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
21.6%
Draw
28.2%
Flamengo
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 27.7% 48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 27.7% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Cruzeiro - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (3.9)
    3.38
    (3.41)
    1.89
    (1.96)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
    • Recent performances by Cruzeiro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa (Thigh Injury) Matheus Henrique (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Flamengo were as follows:
    06.11.2024 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 0:1
    30.06.2024 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 2:1
    19.10.2023 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 0:2
    27.05.2023 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 1:1
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    27.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    24.04.2025 Palestino - Cruzeiro 2:1
    17.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Bahia 3:0
    Latest results of Flamengo
    01.05.2025 Botafogo PB - Flamengo 0:1
    27.04.2025 Flamengo - Corinthians 4:0
    22.04.2025 LDU Quito - Flamengo 0:0
    19.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:0
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Ceara1663716:16021
    11Internacional1656517:20-321
    12Corinthians1756616:20-421
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet