Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (278/344) | 87% (446/514) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (278/344) | 87% (446/514) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (13/43) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (75/107) | 77% (95/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Romero L. (A),
- 39', Romero L. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Gerson (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Everton ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 61', Christian 🟨,
- 67', Pedro ↓, Michael ↑,
- 74', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
- 82', Lucas Silva 🟨,
- 83', Wesley Franca ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 83', Gerson ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 83', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 88', Matheus Pereira ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 88', Wanderson ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 90+2', Villalba L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kaio Jorge ↓, Bolasie Y. ↑,
- 90+6', Gabriel Barbosa (Pen),
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
21.6% | Draw
28.2% | Flamengo
50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Cruzeiro - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.39 ↑
(3.9) |
3.38 ↓
(3.41) |
1.89 ↓
(1.96) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 0.
- Recent performances by Cruzeiro have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Joao Marcelo
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Hamstring Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Japa
(Thigh Injury)
Matheus Henrique
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Flamengo?
Cruzeiro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Cruzeiro?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Flamengo were as follows:
06.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
30.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
19.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:2
27.05.2023
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
