Result
0:0
02/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 0.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
87% (464/532) | 77% (261/338) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 7 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 0.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.40 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
87% (464/532) | 77% (261/338) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (34/52) | 49% (31/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (143/180) | 72% (68/94) |
Crosses |
---|
41% (12/29) | 0% (0/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.63 | 0.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (8/15) | 86% (12/14) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 0.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.17 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 14', Carrascal J. 🟨,
- 18', Kaiki 🟨,
- 20', Romero L. 🟨,
- 45+1', William Furtado 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 76', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
- 77', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 80', Christian ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
- 82', Carrascal J. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 82', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 83', William Furtado 🟨,
- 87', Matheus Pereira ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
- 87', Matheus Henrique ↓, Eduardo ↑,
- 87', Kaio Jorge ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 88', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
- 90+5', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
Chances of winning
Flamengo 58.8% | Draw 25% | Cruzeiro 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Flamengo - Cruzeiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↓ (1.73) |
3.81 ↑ (3.5) |
5.82 ↑ (5) |
4.5% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Cruzeiro?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Flamengo (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +1, 1st Half - Flamengo (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cruzeiro is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Michael
(Inactive)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Janderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Sinisterra L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Cruzeiro?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Flamengo?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Cruzeiro were as follows:
04.05.2025
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
2:1
06.11.2024
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:1
30.06.2024
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
2:1
19.10.2023
Cruzeiro
-
Flamengo
0:2
27.05.2023
Flamengo
-
Cruzeiro
1:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
11 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
12 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
14 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet