Result
1:5
15/11/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 12
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | #Vamos |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 25% | 75% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (133/194) | 90% (517/574) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 4.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 15 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (133/194) | 90% (517/574) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (10/47) | 54% (14/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 88% (268/303) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 29% (10/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 3.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 50% (2/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.57 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Pablo ⚽,
- 27', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
- 34', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- 37', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
- 40', Matheusinho ↓, Aderlan ↑,
- 41', 1 - 1, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Niguez S. (A),
- 42', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
- 44', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 45+3', Niguez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Pablo ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
- 46', Joao Victor ↓, Michael ↑,
- 56', Wallace Yan ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 60', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
- 61', Lucas Lima ↓, Gomes do Nascimento A. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 3, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Luiz Araujo (A),
- 71', 1 - 4, Ayrton Lucas ⚽, Everton (A),
- 77', Leo Pereira ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
- 77', Rivera C. ↓, Riquelme ↑,
- 79', Bruno Henrique ↓, Douglas Telles ↑,
- 79', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 80', 1 - 5, Douglas Telles ⚽, Everton (A),
- 86', Riquelme 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
11.7% | Draw
20.6% | Flamengo
67.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sport Recife - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.29 ↑
(8) |
4.61 ↑
(4.3) |
1.41 ↑
(1.4) |
4.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Flamengo will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Flamengo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 0.
- Recife is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Flamengo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Inactive)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Matheus Alexandre
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Augusto
(Hip Injury)
Silva J.
(Ankle Injury)
Ze Lucas
(International duty)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Jorginho
(Thigh Injury)
Leo Ortiz
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro
(Broken Hand)
de Arrascaeta G.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Flamengo?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Sport Recife?
Flamengo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Flamengo were as follows:
01.11.2025
Flamengo
-
Sport Recife
3:0
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 74:24 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 60:32 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 46:38 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:46 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Gremio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:48 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | Vasco | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 55:53 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Santos | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 41 |
| 17 | Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 41 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:53 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Juventude | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 34:65 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 28:69 | -41 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
