Result
3:1
05/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (542/616) | 78% (280/357) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (542/616) | 78% (280/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (24/37) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (146/185) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Oliva C. (A),
- 53', Gabriel Bontempo 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Ze Ivaldo (Own goal),
- 65', Evertton Araujo ↓, Lucas Paqueta ↑,
- 65', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 69', Barreal A. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 1, Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
- 72', Thaciano ↓, Moises ↑,
- 72', Ze Ivaldo ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 72', Oliva C. ↓, Willian Arao ↑,
- 81', Carrascal J. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 82', Pedro ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 82', Barreal A. ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 86', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Plata G. (A),
- 90+6', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
70.8% | Draw
20% | Santos
9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Flamengo - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.36) |
4.72 ↑
(4.52) |
10.1 ↑
(8.5) |
5.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Santos?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Santos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Injury)
Bruno Henrique
(Groin Injury)
Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Barbosa
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel Menino
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayke
(Knee Injury)
Neymar
(Yellow Cards)
Rony
(Yellow Cards)
Vinicius Lira
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Pedro
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Santos?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Flamengo?
Santos has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Santos were as follows:
09.11.2025
Flamengo
-
Santos
3:2
16.07.2025
Santos
-
Flamengo
1:0
01.11.2023
Flamengo
-
Santos
1:2
25.06.2023
Santos
-
Flamengo
2:3
25.10.2022
Flamengo
-
Santos
3:2
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 24:24 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 19 | Remo | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
