Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Suriname | SCCN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (438/507) | 82% (258/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (438/507) | 82% (258/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (108/143) | 50% (28/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Carrascal J. ⚽,
- 27', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Coutinho (A),
- 37', Robert Renan ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 39', Cauan Barros 🟨,
- 45+4', Lucas Oliveira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Moreira N. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
- 53', Rayan 🟨,
- 57', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
- 57', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Vina M. ↑,
- 64', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 65', Carrascal J. ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
- 73', Vegetti P. ↓, David ↑,
- 73', Coutinho ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 77', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 85', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
- 86', Cauan Barros ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
77.2% | Draw
15.6% | Vasco da Gama
7.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Flamengo - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.5) |
6.5 ↑
(4.18) |
14.15 ↑
(6.2) |
1.3%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Vasco da Gama?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
- Flamengo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro
(Calf Injury)
Jorginho
(Inactive)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
GB
(Inactive)
Jair
(Injury)
Lucas Freitas
(Yellow Cards)
Lucas Piton
(Inactive)
Tche Tche
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Niguez S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Thiago Mendes
(Calf Injury)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Vasco da Gama?
Flamengo has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Flamengo?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
19.04.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
0:0
08.03.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
01.03.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
0:1
15.02.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
15.09.2024
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
