Result
0:0
19/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/306) | 90% (485/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 35 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (238/306) | 90% (485/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 66% (25/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 86% (179/207) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 31% (11/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 2.56 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Vegetti P. 🟨,
- 60', Bruno Henrique ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 61', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 61', Michael ↓, Everton ↑,
- 66', Moreira N. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 69', Gerson ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 77', Rayan ↓, Lukas Zuccarello ↑,
- 77', Coutinho ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 81', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
- 84', de la Cruz N. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 88', Hugo Moura ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 88', Jair ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
11.3% | Draw
22.4% | Flamengo
66.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vasco da Gama - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.39 ↑
(4.2) |
4.26 ↑
(3.75) |
1.44 ↓
(1.75) |
5%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Flamengo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 0.
- Recent matches Vasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Flamengo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Coutinho
(Rest)
David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Personal Reasons)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Payet D.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 18:41 (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5:22 (average 0.6:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Flamengo?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Vasco da Gama?
Flamengo has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Flamengo were as follows:
08.03.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
01.03.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
0:1
15.02.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
15.09.2024
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
02.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
1:6
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
