Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vasco da Gama - Flamengo
Result
0:0
19/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.92
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
78% (238/306)90% (485/541)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.511.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.621.55
Total shots
617
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
213
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
635
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
78% (238/306)90% (485/541)
Long passes
30% (15/50)66% (25/38)
Passes in final third
58% (35/60)86% (179/207)
Crosses
15% (2/13)31% (11/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.212.56
Fouls
1410
Tackles
69% (9/13)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3450
Clearances Total
3512
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.550.62
Goals prevented
1.550.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Vegetti P. 🟨,
  • 60', Bruno Henrique , Plata G. ,
  • 61', Ayrton Lucas , Varela G. ,
  • 61', Michael , Everton ,
  • 66', Moreira N. , Garre B. ,
  • 69', Gerson , Pedro ,
  • 77', Rayan , Lukas Zuccarello ,
  • 77', Coutinho , Alex Teixeira ,
  • 81', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
  • 84', de la Cruz N. , Allan ,
  • 88', Hugo Moura , Mateus Carvalho ,
  • 88', Jair , Paulinho Paula ,

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
11.3%
Draw
22.4%
Flamengo
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 24.8% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 24.2% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vasco da Gama - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.39
    (4.2)
    4.26
    (3.75)
    1.44
    (1.75)
    5%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Flamengo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 0.
    • Recent matches Vasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Flamengo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Coutinho (Rest) David (Knee Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury) Lemos M. (Injury) Tche Tche (Personal Reasons)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Vina M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Payet D. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 18:41 (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5:22 (average 0.6:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Flamengo were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    01.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:1
    15.02.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    15.09.2024 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    02.06.2024 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 1:6
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Flamengo
    16.04.2025 Flamengo - Juventude 6:0
    13.04.2025 Grêmio - Flamengo 0:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

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