Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, RedeTV!, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
surinameSurinameSCCN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.53
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
86% (438/507)82% (258/316)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.630.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.80
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
86% (438/507)82% (258/316)
Long passes
51% (27/53)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
76% (108/143)50% (28/56)
Crosses
29% (5/17)45% (5/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.960.29
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
1512
Tackles
50% (12/24)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5773
Clearances
2038
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.801.27
Goals prevented
-0.200.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Carrascal J. ,
  • 27', Ayrton Lucas 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Rayan , Coutinho (A),
  • 37', Robert Renan , Lucas Oliveira ,
  • 39', Cauan Barros 🟨,
  • 45+4', Lucas Oliveira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moreira N. , Gomez C. A. ,
  • 53', Rayan 🟨,
  • 57', Everton , Samuel Lino ,
  • 57', Ayrton Lucas , Vina M. ,
  • 64', Bruno Henrique , Pedro ,
  • 65', Carrascal J. , de Arrascaeta G. ,
  • 73', Vegetti P. , David ,
  • 73', Coutinho , Matheus Franca ,
  • 77', Plata G. , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 85', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
  • 86', Cauan Barros , Mateus Carvalho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
77.2%
Draw
15.6%
Vasco da Gama
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 22.4% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3% 21.4% 14.5%

Flamengo - Vasco da Gama Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.27
(1.5)
6.5
(4.18)
14.15
(6.2)
1.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Vasco da Gama?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 3.
    • Flamengo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Calf Injury) Jorginho (Inactive) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) GB (Inactive) Jair (Injury) Lucas Freitas (Yellow Cards) Lucas Piton (Inactive) Tche Tche (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Niguez S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Thiago Mendes (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:0
    08.03.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    01.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:1
    15.02.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:0
    15.09.2024 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    14.09.2025 Juventude - Flamengo 0:2
    31.08.2025 Flamengo - Grêmio 1:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet