Result
0:0
19/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.51 | 1.92 |
Ball Possession |
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36% | 64% |
Total shots |
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6 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 11 |
Passes |
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78% (238/306) | 90% (485/541) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.51 | 1.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.62 | 1.55 |
Total shots |
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6 | 17 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
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6 | 35 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 14 |
Passes |
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78% (238/306) | 90% (485/541) |
Long passes |
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30% (15/50) | 66% (25/38) |
Passes in final third |
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58% (35/60) | 86% (179/207) |
Crosses |
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15% (2/13) | 31% (11/35) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.21 | 2.56 |
Fouls |
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14 | 10 |
Tackles |
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69% (9/13) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
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34 | 50 |
Clearances Total |
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35 | 12 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.55 | 0.62 |
Goals prevented |
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1.55 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Vegetti P. 🟨,
- 60', Bruno Henrique ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 61', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Varela G. ↑,
- 61', Michael ↓, Everton ↑,
- 66', Moreira N. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 69', Gerson ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 77', Rayan ↓, Lukas Zuccarello ↑,
- 77', Coutinho ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 81', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
- 84', de la Cruz N. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 88', Hugo Moura ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 88', Jair ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama 11.3% | Draw 22.4% | Flamengo 66.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vasco da Gama - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.39 ↑ (4.2) |
4.26 ↑ (3.75) |
1.44 ↓ (1.75) |
5% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Flamengo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 0.
- Recent matches Vasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Flamengo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Vasco: Coutinho
(Rest)
David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Lemos M.
(Injury)
Tche Tche
(Personal Reasons)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Payet D.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 18:41 (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5:22 (average 0.6:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Flamengo?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Vasco da Gama?
Flamengo has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Flamengo were as follows:
08.03.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
01.03.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
0:1
15.02.2025
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
2:0
15.09.2024
Flamengo
-
Vasco da Gama
1:1
02.06.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Flamengo
1:6
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet