Result
1:4
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (182/290) | 72% (253/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (182/290) | 72% (253/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 40% (38/94) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (46/93) | 49% (52/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.90 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 76 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.71 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽,
- 17', Matthews D. ↓, Quirk S. ↑,
- 27', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 31', Marsh L. 🟨,
- 39', Grant C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ward B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', O'Brien C. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
- 46', O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↓, Whalley S. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Woods B. ⚽,
- 62', Marsh L. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Patterson P. ⚽,
- 83', Patterson P. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
- 83', Wiredu B. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Grant C. (Own goal),
- 86', Mooney K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
- 86', Grant C. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 4, Hunt M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Helm M. ↓, Cross-Adair F. ↑,
- 90+2', Batty J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
34.5% | Draw
30.7% | Fleetwood Town
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.58) |
3.07 ↓
(3.35) |
2.71 ↑
(2.47) |
6.2%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 40% – 93.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Accrington won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Fleetwood Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
16.12.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
1:1
15.04.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Fleetwood Town
2:5
29.10.2022
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
3:0
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Salford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Harrogate | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Barrow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Notts Co | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 17 | Colchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Oldham | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 | Newport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Accrington | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 22 | Crawley | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
