Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 43
- Referee: Watkins R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (244/353) | 62% (166/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (244/353) | 62% (166/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (19/77) | 36% (26/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (50/104) | 50% (56/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Davies W. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽, Ennis E. (A),
- 23', Love D. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Conneely S. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Woods J. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
- 67', Haughey C. 🟨,
- 71', Haughey C. ↓, Bolton J. ↑,
- 71', Neal H. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 72', Matthews D. 🟨,
- 80', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 81', Madden P. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Osong D. E. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
- 90+3', Ennis E. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
- 90+4', Coyle L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
29.7% | Draw
29% | Fleetwood Town
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.65) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
2.28 ↓
(2.5) |
7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 0.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Fleetwood could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Accrington: Abimbola D.
(Red Card)
Walton T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Head Injury)
McCann L.
(Injury)
Rooney S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Inactive)
Heath I.
(Inactive)
Henderson A.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:34. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Fleetwood Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Fleetwood Town has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
25.10.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
02.09.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
2:2
01.04.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Fleetwood Town
1:4
16.12.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
1:1
15.04.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Fleetwood Town
2:5
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
