Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood).

League Two - Round 14
Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	0.85
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	9
Passes
58% (189/324)	58% (190/327)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
3.21	1.07
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
13	8
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	9
Touches in opposition box
22	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	9
Passes
58% (189/324)	58% (190/327)
Long passes
28% (28/99)	27% (24/88)
Passes in final third
40% (40/99)	48% (55/115)
Crosses
17% (4/23)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.58
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
47% (14/30)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
84	70
Clearances
35	35
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.07	3.21
Goals prevented
0.07	1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Henderson A. ⚽, Brown C. (A),
22', Davies W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', McCann L. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Graydon R. ⚽,
65', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
65', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
67', Henderson A. 🟨,
68', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
73', Brown C. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
74', O'Brien C. 🟨,
81', Coyle L. 🟨,
83', Matthews D. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
84', Coyle L. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
84', Sinclair I. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
86', Graydon R. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fleetwood Town
46.4%

Draw
26.9%

Accrington Stanley
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	3.55 ↓ (3.71)	6.6% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fleetwood Town will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fleetwood Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
Fleetwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Accrington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
Fleetwood might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F. (Inactive)
There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Johnson W. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Accrington Stanley?

Fleetwood Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Fleetwood Town?

Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

02.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 2:2

01.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 1:4

16.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 1:1

15.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 2:5

29.10.2022 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 3:0

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

18.10.2025 Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 3:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Leeds United U21 4:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Colchester United 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

18.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 4:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 0:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Barnet - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Accrington Stanley - Walsall 1:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League