Result
1:4
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.77 | 0.90 |
Ball Possession |
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45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 6 |
Passes |
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63% (182/290) | 72% (253/353) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.77 | 0.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.80 | 1.29 |
Total shots |
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8 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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4 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 18 |
Offsides |
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3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 14 |
Passes |
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63% (182/290) | 72% (253/353) |
Long passes |
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32% (21/65) | 40% (38/94) |
Passes in final third |
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49% (46/93) | 49% (52/107) |
Crosses |
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20% (3/15) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.40 | 0.90 |
Fouls |
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14 | 9 |
Tackles |
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70% (7/10) | 47% (7/15) |
Duels won |
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51 | 76 |
Clearances Total |
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33 | 45 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.29 | 0.80 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.71 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽,
- 17', Matthews D. ↓, Quirk S. ↑,
- 27', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 31', Marsh L. 🟨,
- 39', Grant C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ward B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', O'Brien C. ↓, Coyle L. ↑,
- 46', O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ↓, Whalley S. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Woods B. ⚽,
- 62', Marsh L. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Patterson P. ⚽,
- 83', Patterson P. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
- 83', Wiredu B. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Grant C. (Own goal),
- 86', Mooney K. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
- 86', Grant C. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 4, Hunt M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Helm M. ↓, Cross-Adair F. ↑,
- 90+2', Batty J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley 34.5% | Draw 30.7% | Fleetwood Town 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↑ (2.58) |
3.07 ↓ (3.35) |
2.71 ↑ (2.47) |
6.2% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 40% – 93.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Accrington won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Fleetwood Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
16.12.2024
Fleetwood Town
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Accrington Stanley
1:1
15.04.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Fleetwood Town
2:5
29.10.2022
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
3:0
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League