Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town
Result
1:4
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.90
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
63% (182/290)72% (253/353)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.801.29
Total shots
813
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1018
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
914
Passes
63% (182/290)72% (253/353)
Long passes
32% (21/65)40% (38/94)
Passes in final third
49% (46/93)49% (52/107)
Crosses
20% (3/15)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.90
Fouls
149
Tackles
70% (7/10)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5176
Clearances Total
3345
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.290.80
Goals prevented
-1.71-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Helm M. ,
  • 17', Matthews D. , Quirk S. ,
  • 27', Wiredu B. 🟨,
  • 31', Marsh L. 🟨,
  • 39', Grant C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Ward B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', O'Brien C. , Coyle L. ,
  • 46', O'Brien Whitmarsh J. , Whalley S. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Woods B. ,
  • 62', Marsh L. , Potter F. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Patterson P. ,
  • 83', Patterson P. , Hunt M. ,
  • 83', Wiredu B. , Morrison G. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, Grant C. (Own goal),
  • 86', Mooney K. , Brown C. ,
  • 86', Grant C. , Woods J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 4, Hunt M. ,
  • 90+2', Helm M. , Cross-Adair F. ,
  • 90+2', Batty J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
34.5%
Draw
30.7%
Fleetwood Town
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 27.4% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 27.6% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.58)
    3.07
    (3.35)
    2.71
    (2.47)
    6.2%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Accrington won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:26 (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
    16.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 1:1
    15.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 2:5
    29.10.2022 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 3:0
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grimsby11003:033
    2Crewe11003:123
    3Fleetwood11002:023
    4Walsall11002:113
    5Chesterfield11001:013
    6Cambridge Utd11001:013
    7Harrogate11001:013
    8Colchester10101:101
    9Gillingham10101:101
    10Tranmere10101:101
    11Accrington10101:101
    12Notts Co10101:101
    13Newport10101:101
    14Oldham10100:001
    15MK Dons10100:001
    16Shrewsbury10100:001
    17Bromley10100:001
    18Swindon10011:2-10
    19Bristol Rovers10010:1-10
    20Cheltenham10010:1-10
    21Barrow10010:1-10
    22Salford10011:3-20
    23Barnet10010:2-20
    24Crawley10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League