Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stanley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood).

League Two - Round 14
Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	0.85
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	9
Passes
58% (189/324)	58% (190/327)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
3.21	1.07
Total shots
15	13
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
13	8
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
7	9
Touches in opposition box
22	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	9
Passes
58% (189/324)	58% (190/327)
Long passes
28% (28/99)	27% (24/88)
Passes in final third
40% (40/99)	48% (55/115)
Crosses
17% (4/23)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.58
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
47% (14/30)	50% (10/20)
Duels won
84	70
Clearances
35	35
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.07	3.21
Goals prevented
0.07	1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Henderson A. ⚽, Brown C. (A),
22', Davies W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', McCann L. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Graydon R. ⚽,
65', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
65', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
67', Henderson A. 🟨,
68', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
73', Brown C. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
74', O'Brien C. 🟨,
81', Coyle L. 🟨,
83', Matthews D. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
84', Coyle L. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
84', Sinclair I. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
86', Graydon R. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fleetwood Town
46.4%

Draw
26.9%

Accrington Stanley
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	3.47 ↓ (3.49)	3.55 ↓ (3.71)	6.6% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 50%). Accrington (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Fleetwood Town will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
Fleetwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Accrington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
Fleetwood might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F. (Inactive)
There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Johnson W. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Accrington Stanley?

Fleetwood Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Fleetwood Town?

Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley were as follows:

02.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 2:2

01.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 1:4

16.12.2024 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 1:1

15.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Fleetwood Town 2:5

29.10.2022 Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley 3:0

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

18.10.2025 Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town 3:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Fleetwood Town - Leeds United U21 4:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Fleetwood Town - Colchester United 4:2 ✺

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

18.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 4:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 0:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Barnet - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Accrington Stanley - Walsall 1:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	14	8	2	4	19:13	6	26
2	Swindon	14	8	2	4	24:19	5	26
3	Salford	14	8	1	5	20:18	2	25
4	MK Dons	14	7	3	4	27:15	12	24
5	Notts Co	14	7	3	4	25:15	10	24
6	Grimsby	14	7	3	4	27:18	9	24
7	Chesterfield	14	6	5	3	24:21	3	23
8	Gillingham	14	6	4	4	19:14	5	22
9	Crewe	14	7	1	6	20:18	2	22
10	Fleetwood	14	6	4	4	21:20	1	22
11	Bromley	14	5	6	3	21:18	3	21
12	Barnet	14	6	3	5	18:15	3	21
13	Cambridge Utd	14	6	3	5	16:15	1	21
14	Colchester	14	4	6	4	21:18	3	18
15	Barrow	14	5	3	6	13:15	-2	18
16	Bristol Rovers	14	5	2	7	14:25	-11	17
17	Oldham	14	3	7	4	12:12	0	16
18	Tranmere	13	3	6	4	21:19	2	15
19	Harrogate	14	4	2	8	15:23	-8	14
20	Cheltenham	14	4	2	8	10:25	-15	14
21	Shrewsbury	14	3	4	7	12:22	-10	13
22	Accrington	13	3	3	7	12:16	-4	12
23	Crawley	14	3	3	8	14:22	-8	12
24	Newport	14	3	2	9	14:23	-9	11

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League