Result
1:3
06/01/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 27
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Xtra |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports |
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town 16.4% | Draw 22.3% | Derby County 61.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Fleetwood Town - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.71 ↑ (4.97) |
4.23 ↑ (3.81) |
1.54 ↓ (1.66) |
6% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Fleetwood is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Derby is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Derby County?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Fleetwood Town?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Derby County were as follows:
05.12.2023
Derby County
-
Fleetwood Town
3:0
19.08.2023
Derby County
-
Fleetwood Town
1:0
18.03.2023
Derby County
-
Fleetwood Town
0:2
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Derby County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cardiff | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
3 | Stevenage | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
5 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Barnsley | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Lincoln | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
8 | Doncaster | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Mansfield | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
11 | Luton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
12 | Wigan | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Exeter | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Bolton | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
16 | Burton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
17 | Rotherham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
18 | Northampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
19 | Plymouth | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
20 | Blackpool | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
21 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
22 | Port Vale | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
23 | Reading | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
24 | Peterborough | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two