Result
1:3
06/01/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 27
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Xtra |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports |
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
16.4% | Draw
22.3% | Derby County
61.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Fleetwood Town - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.71 ↑
(4.97) |
4.23 ↑
(3.81) |
1.54 ↓
(1.66) |
6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Fleetwood is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Derby is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Derby County?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Fleetwood Town?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Derby County were as follows:
05.12.2023
Derby County
-
Fleetwood Town
3:0
19.08.2023
Derby County
-
Fleetwood Town
1:0
18.03.2023
Derby County
-
Fleetwood Town
0:2
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Derby County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
