Fleetwood Town vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Fleetwood Town - Derby County
Result
1:3
06/01/2024 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 27
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Xtra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports

Chances of winning


Fleetwood Town
16.4%
Draw
22.3%
Derby County
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.9% 24.6% 56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 23.8% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Fleetwood Town - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.71
    (4.97)
    4.23
    (3.81)
    1.54
    (1.66)
    6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: Derby County will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.93%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Fleetwood is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Derby is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Derby County were as follows:
    05.12.2023 Derby County - Fleetwood Town 3:0
    19.08.2023 Derby County - Fleetwood Town 1:0
    18.03.2023 Derby County - Fleetwood Town 0:2
    Latest results of Fleetwood Town
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two