Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 38
Referee: Cartmel W. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.90	0.65
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Passes
64% (235/368)	54% (136/253)
Yellow cards
1	5
Expected goals (xG)
1.90	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.88	0.09
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
8	2
Shots inside the box
16	3
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
55	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
15	6
Passes
64% (235/368)	54% (136/253)
Long passes
37% (28/75)	31% (24/78)
Passes in final third
58% (110/189)	41% (38/92)
Crosses
21% (9/43)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.98	0.48
Throw ins
48	32
Fouls
6	15
Tackles
53% (9/17)	76% (16/21)
Duels won
76	59
Clearances
29	66
Interceptions
3	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.09	1.88
Goals prevented
0.09	0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Neal H. 🟨,
59', Kacurri M. 🟨,
61', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
61', Davies W. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
72', Powell J. 🟨,
72', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
77', Clark M. 🟨,
86', Evans C. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
86', Cook A. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
87', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
89', Powell J. ↓, Bennett R. ↑,
89', Helm M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
90+4', Rooney S. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽,
90+8', Bonds E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
46%

Draw
27.5%

Fleetwood Town
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.78)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.51 ↓ (4.06)	7.1% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 14).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Grimsby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Grimsby: Pym C. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Inactive) McCann L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Khouri E. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) Coughlan R. (Inactive) Mullarkey T. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Fleetwood Town?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Grimsby Town?

Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:

01.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 0:1

22.02.2025 Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town 2:1

10.08.2024 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 1:0

29.07.2023 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 1:0

Latest results of Grimsby Town

14.03.2026 Oldham Athletic - Grimsby Town 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Grimsby Town - Bromley 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Grimsby Town - Salford City 3:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Notts County - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

14.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Tranmere Rovers 0:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Gillingham - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Walsall - Fleetwood Town 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Fleetwood Town - Newport County 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League