Grimsby Town vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Blundell Park (Cleethorpes).

League Two - Round 38
Referee: Cartmel W. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.90	0.65
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Passes
64% (235/368)	54% (136/253)
Yellow cards
1	5
Expected goals (xG)
1.90	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.88	0.09
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
8	2
Shots inside the box
16	3
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
55	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
15	6
Passes
64% (235/368)	54% (136/253)
Long passes
37% (28/75)	31% (24/78)
Passes in final third
58% (110/189)	41% (38/92)
Crosses
21% (9/43)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.98	0.48
Throw ins
48	32
Fouls
6	15
Tackles
53% (9/17)	76% (16/21)
Duels won
76	59
Clearances
29	66
Interceptions
3	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.09	1.88
Goals prevented
0.09	0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Neal H. 🟨,
59', Kacurri M. 🟨,
61', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
61', Davies W. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
72', Powell J. 🟨,
72', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
77', Clark M. 🟨,
86', Evans C. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
86', Cook A. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
87', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
89', Powell J. ↓, Bennett R. ↑,
89', Helm M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
90+4', Rooney S. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽,
90+8', Bonds E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Grimsby Town
46%

Draw
27.5%

Fleetwood Town
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.78)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	3.51 ↓ (4.06)	7.1% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 14).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Fleetwood may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Grimsby might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Grimsby: Pym C. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D. (Inactive) McCann L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Khouri E. (Inactive) Vernam C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) Coughlan R. (Inactive) Mullarkey T. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Fleetwood Town?

Grimsby Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Grimsby Town?

Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town were as follows:

01.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 0:1

22.02.2025 Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town 2:1

10.08.2024 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 1:0

29.07.2023 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 1:0

Latest results of Grimsby Town

14.03.2026 Oldham Athletic - Grimsby Town 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Grimsby Town - Bromley 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Grimsby Town - Salford City 3:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Notts County - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

14.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Tranmere Rovers 0:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Gillingham - Fleetwood Town 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Walsall - Fleetwood Town 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Fleetwood Town - Newport County 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League