Result
0:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (218/342) | 69% (277/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (218/342) | 69% (277/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (33/100) | 43% (39/91) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (64/113) | 52% (67/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Potter F. ↓, Haughey C. ↑,
- 20', Evans C. 🟨,
- 38', Hughes K. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
- 45+4', Neal H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Rodgers H. 🟨,
- 62', McCann L. 🟨,
- 62', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 63', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 63', Vernam C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
- 66', McCann L. ↓, Bonds E. ↑,
- 69', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 78', Burns D. 🟨,
- 78', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 79', Graydon R. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
- 87', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽, Burns D. (A),
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
35.7% | Draw
27.2% | Grimsby Town
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.66) |
3.44 ↑
(3.33) |
2.52 ↑
(2.4) |
7.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 15).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Holgate H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hume D.
(Inactive)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Norwood J.
(Inactive)
Roberts L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Grimsby Town?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Fleetwood Town?
Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:
22.02.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Fleetwood Town
2:1
10.08.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:0
29.07.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Grimsby Town
1:0
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
