Fleury-Merogis vs Aubagne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French National League Fleury-Merogis - Aubagne
Result
0:2
26/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceBFM Marseille Provence
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 1, El Kaddouri B. , Mayilla E. (A),
  • 54', Abdallah M. 🟨,
  • 61', Rocchia C. , Ali Hamidou N. D. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Chaban K. , El Kaddouri B. (A),
  • 68', Hamek M. , Daou R. ,
  • 68', Sylla S. , Rivas J. ,
  • 69', Farade K. , Gannoun K. ,
  • 69', Lavigne V. , Belliard M. ,
  • 80', Lefebvre G. , Aubourg H. ,
  • 80', Bovis E. , Lambese S. ,
  • 80', El Kaddouri B. , Bentoumi M. ,
  • 81', Mayilla E. , Boudraa S. ,

Chances of winning


Fleury-Merogis
45.7%
Draw
28.7%
Aubagne
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 28.2% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 29.7% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fleury-Merogis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Fleury-Merogis - Aubagne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.06)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    3.65
    (3.5)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fleury-Merogis - Aubagne?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fleury-Merogis will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
    • Recent performances by Fleury-Merogis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Aubagne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fleury-Merogis is considered a favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
    Latest results of Aubagne
    19.09.2025 Aubagne - Versailles 1:1
    12.09.2025 Quevilly - Aubagne 1:2
    05.09.2025 Bourg-Péronnas - Aubagne 0:0
    29.08.2025 Aubagne - Concarneau 1:1
    15.08.2025 Aubagne - Villefranche 3:1
    French National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rouen1072117:61123
    2Versailles962114:5920
    3Dijon945015:6917
    4Orleans1052313:15-217
    5Sochaux951315:7816
    6Concarneau94239:11-214
    7Caen1034311:9213
    8Aubagne934210:10013
    9Fleury-Merogis933310:7312
    10Valenciennes932410:10011
    11Villefranche103257:15-811
    12Chateauroux925212:12011
    13Le Puy-en-Velay1024411:14-310
    14Paris 13 Atl1023510:17-79
    15Quevilly Rouen922511:15-48
    16Bourg en Bresse91355:12-76
    17Stade Briochin101279:18-95

          Promotion ~ Ligue 2
          Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
          Relegation