Result
1:2
06/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Karamoko H. 🟨,
- 16', Bovis E. 🟨,
- 21', Abdallah M. 🟨,
- 31', Diaby A. 🟨,
- 39', Mimb Baheng R. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Farade K. ⚽, Hervieu L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ndiaye O. ↓, Oudjani A. ↑,
- 46', Mimb Baheng R. ↓, M'Dahoma K. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, El Kaddouri B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 53', 1 - 2, Rocchia C. (Own goal),
- 63', Aubourg H. ↓, Leleve R. ↑,
- 63', Tchouatcha J. ↓, Jean-Pierre M. ↑,
- 63', Lavigne V. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 69', Rocchia C. ↓, Boudraa S. ↑,
- 75', Bovis E. ↓, Lambese S. ↑,
- 75', Chibani N. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
- 84', Farade K. ↓, Gannoun K. ↑,
- 90+3', Mayilla E. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
- 90+4', Gannoun K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aubagne
34.7% | Draw
29.7% | Fleury-Merogis
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aubagne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Fleury-Merogis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Aubagne - Fleury-Merogis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(2.86) |
3.09 ↑
(2.98) |
2.58 ↑
(2.44) |
8.9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aubagne - Fleury-Merogis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fleury-Merogis (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fleury-Merogis will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).
- Aubagne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fleury-Merogis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aubagne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Aubagne won against Fleury-Merogis?
Aubagne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleury-Merogis won against Aubagne?
Fleury-Merogis has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aubagne - Fleury-Merogis were as follows:
26.09.2025
Fleury-Merogis
-
Aubagne
0:2
Latest results of Aubagne
Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
French National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dijon | 24 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 39:16 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Rouen | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 35:21 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 45 |
| 4 | Orleans | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:34 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Versailles | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 32:24 | 8 | 40 |
| 6 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 38 |
| 7 | Fleury-Merogis | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 29:22 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Concarneau | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 9 | Valenciennes | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Aubagne | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Villefranche | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Caen | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 27 |
| 13 | Paris 13 Atl | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Bourg en Bresse | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Chateauroux | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 22:32 | -10 | 20 |
| 16 | Quevilly Rouen | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 22:35 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 2
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
Relegation
