Result
26/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Fleury-Merogis
56.4% | Draw
25.7% | Aubagne
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleury-Merogis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fleury-Merogis's performance.Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aubagne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleury-Merogis than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleury-Merogis that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aubagne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fleury-Merogis - Aubagne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(2.06) |
3.6 ↑
(3.29) |
5.15 ↑
(3.5) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)
- Fleury-Merogis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aubagne is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fleury-Merogis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fleury-Merogis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleury-Merogis won against Aubagne?
Fleury-Merogis has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aubagne won against Fleury-Merogis?
Aubagne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleury-Merogis - Aubagne were as follows:
Latest results of Fleury-Merogis
Latest results of Aubagne
French National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rouen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Versailles | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dijon | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Caen | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Fleury-Merogis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Orleans | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Aubagne | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Chateauroux | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Concarneau | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Paris 13 Atl | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Stade Briochin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Quevilly Rouen | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Bourg en Bresse | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 2
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
Relegation
