Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 6
- Referee: Laane K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Kreida V. 🟨,
- 28', Lepik M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kalmokov N. ↓, Kaares A. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Zenjov S. ⚽,
- 62', Kukk M. 🟨,
- 64', Limberg M. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
- 64', Viidas S. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 64', Lepik M. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 64', Pajo T. ↓, Kapper S. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Antonov I. ⚽,
- 75', Villota M. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
- 76', Zenjov S. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
- 76', Alamaa S. ↓, Varjund T. ↑,
- 85', Kreida V. ↓, Teevali T. ↑,
- 88', Antonov I. ↓, Valdmets R. ↑,
- 90+6', Poder J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Flora Tallinn
67% | Draw
20% | Pärnu Vaprus
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flora Tallinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.33) |
4.65 ↓
(5) |
7.13 ↓
(7.17) |
7.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 3.
- Recent performances by Flora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Flora is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 57:10. (average 2.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flora won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Flora Tallinn won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Flora Tallinn has won 12 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Flora Tallinn?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 2 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
17.01.2026
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Flora Tallinn
2:2
08.11.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Flora Tallinn
0:3
13.09.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
3:0
02.05.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Flora Tallinn
0:3
08.03.2025
Flora Tallinn
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
Latest results of Flora Tallinn
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Paide | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Levadia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Flora | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Narva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
