Result
7:1
14/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 2
- Referee: Lorenz J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽, Jarvelaid H. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Dacosta O. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
- 23', Palts M. 🟨,
- 27', Laanelaid K. 🟨,
- 35', Jarvelaid H. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Valja H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (5 - 0)
- 48', 3 - 1, Jarvelaid H. ⚽, Dacosta O. (A),
- 53', 4 - 1, Morishige Y. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
- 60', Laanelaid K. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
- 60', Matas K. ↓, Ounapuu E. ↑,
- 63', Viidas S. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 63', Limberg M. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
- 63', Sild J. ↓, Villota M. ↑,
- 70', 5 - 1, Ounapuu E. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
- 71', Lepik M. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 71', Kapper S. ↓, Korre A. ↑,
- 72', Beglarishvili Z. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
- 74', 6 - 1, Ounapuu E. ⚽, Oostenbrink K. (A),
- 79', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Kabal G. ↑,
- 79', Dacosta O. ↓, Palu R. ↑,
- 81', 7 - 1, Chisala B. ⚽, Frolov A. (A),
- 85', Kabal G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nõmme United
35.5% | Draw
22.9% | Pärnu Vaprus
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United's performance.Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(3.97) |
4.04 ↑
(3.76) |
2.23 ↑
(1.72) |
8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Nõmme United (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1.
- Nõmme United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pärnu Vaprus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Nõmme United has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of home games.
- Pärnu Vaprus could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:26. (average 0.7:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Nõmme United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Nõmme United?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
12.02.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme United
7:0
19.10.2024
Nõmme United
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:2
13.07.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme United
2:0
31.05.2024
Nõmme United
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
26.04.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme United
2:1
Latest results of Nõmme United
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Paide | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Levadia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Flora | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Narva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
