Result
2:3
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 10
- Referee: Osomkov G. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Chanda R. ⚽, Frolov A. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Lepik M. ⚽,
- 23', Pajo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Truuvaart A. ↓, Vain B. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Valja H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Kabal G. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
- 71', Vallik V. ↓, Viidas S. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Chisala B. ⚽, Vain B. (A),
- 80', 2 - 3, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
- 86', Limberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 86', Kapper S. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
- 86', Lepik M. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 86', Pajo T. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
- 88', Purg G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Alteberg A. ↑,
- 90+2', Dacosta O. ↓, Merilai S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
40.3% | Draw
25.2% | Nõmme United
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.52) |
3.61 ↓
(3.71) |
2.65 ↑
(2.34) |
9.6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 2.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 3.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Nõmme United?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Nõmme United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United were as follows:
14.03.2026
Nõmme United
-
Pärnu Vaprus
7:1
12.02.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme United
7:0
19.10.2024
Nõmme United
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:2
13.07.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme United
2:0
31.05.2024
Nõmme United
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Nõmme United
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | Kalju | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Narva | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:29 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
