Result
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Bahia 46.8% | Draw 29.5% | Fluminense 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Bahia - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (2) |
3.22 ↑ (3.2) |
3.99 ↓ (4) |
5.3% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Fluminense?
Bahia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Bahia?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Fluminense were as follows:
04.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Bahia
1:0
16.04.2024
Bahia
-
Fluminense
0:1
31.10.2023
Bahia
-
Fluminense
1:0
24.06.2023
Fluminense
-
Bahia
2:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet