Result
2:0
10/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/506) | 72% (210/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/506) | 72% (210/290) |
| Long passes |
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| 53% (25/47) | 23% (12/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (117/161) | 58% (38/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 41% (7/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 40', Kayky 🟨,
- 44', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Nonato ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 46', Kayky ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Canobbio A. (Pen),
- 56', Michel Araujo ↓, Iago Borduchi ↑,
- 56', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 66', Freytes J. 🟨,
- 71', Ronaldo Strada 🟨,
- 71', Iago Borduchi 🟨,
- 75', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Rezende ↑,
- 76', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 83', Everaldo ↓, Cano G. ↑,
- 83', Martinelli ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Thiago Silva ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
- 86', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 89', Cauly 🟨,
- 90+2', Canobbio A. ↓, Ignacio ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
56.8% | Draw
26.6% | Bahia
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.98) |
3.51 ↑
(3.23) |
5.48 ↑
(3.73) |
5.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Bahia will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bahia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Fluminense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Samuel Xavier
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre
(Hamstring Injury)
Erick
(Hamstring Injury)
Kanu
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Bahia?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Fluminense?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Bahia were as follows:
28.08.2025
Bahia
-
Fluminense
1:0
09.08.2025
Bahia
-
Fluminense
3:3
04.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Bahia
1:0
16.04.2024
Bahia
-
Fluminense
0:1
31.10.2023
Bahia
-
Fluminense
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | CRB | |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 7 | Inter de Limeira | Vila Nova FC | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Rio Branco-VN | Amazonas | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | Juventude | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Uniao Carmolandense | America RN | 4 : 2 |
| 11 | Tocantinopolis | Atletico-MG | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Independencia | Manaus | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Concordia | Ponte Preta | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | Botafogo PB | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 17 | Operario VG | Sport Recife | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Rio Branco ES | Novorizontino | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 21 | Sergipe | Ceara | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Parnahyba | Confianca | 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 25 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 27 | Maranhao | Vitoria | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Santa Cruz de Natal | Nautico | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Trem | Brusque | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Olaria | ABC | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Pouso Alegre | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guarany de Bage | AE Altos | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Tuna Luso | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Boavista | CSA | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Sao Raimundo RR | Gremio | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Barcelona | Athletic Club | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Humaita | Operario-PR | 0 : 1 |
| 38 | CSE | Tombense | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Vasco | 0 : 3 |
| 40 | Barcelona RO | Nova Iguacu | 1 : 4 |
| 41 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 43 | Porto Velho | Cuiaba | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Capital | Portuguesa RJ | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Operario MS | Criciuma | 0 : 1 |
| 46 | GAS | Remo | 0 : 4 |
| 47 | Sousa | Bragantino | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Oratorio | EC Sao Jose | 1 : 3 |
| 49 | Aguia De Maraba | Fluminense | 0 : 8 |
| 50 | Dourados | SER Caxias | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Cascavel | America MG | 1 : 0 |
| 52 | Votuporanguense | Aparecidense | 2 : 3 |
| 53 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 55 | Ceilandia | Coritiba | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Maracana | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 57 | ASA | Atletico GO | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | Jequie | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 61 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | CRB | |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | Rio Branco-VN | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Maringa FC | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Manaus | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Concordia | Botafogo PB | 0 : 4 |
| 8 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 9 | Operario VG | Novorizontino | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 11 | Ceara | Confianca | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 14 | Vitoria | Nautico | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Brusque | Olaria | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Athletico-PR | Guarany de Bage | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Tuna Luso | CSA | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Gremio | Athletic Club | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Operario-PR | Tombense | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasco | Nova Iguacu | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 22 | Porto Velho | Capital | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | Criciuma | Remo | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bragantino | EC Sao Jose | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Fluminense | SER Caxias | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Cascavel | Aparecidense | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 28 | Ceilandia | Maracana | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Atletico GO | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 31 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Santos | CRB | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | Vila Nova FC | 3 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Maringa FC | Atletico-MG | 0 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Botafogo PB | Flamengo RJ | 2 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | Corinthians | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Ceara | Palmeiras | 0 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | Nautico | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Brusque | Athletico-PR | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | CSA | Gremio | 0 : 0, 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | Vasco | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | Capital | 0 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Criciuma | Bragantino | 0 : 6, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fluminense | Aparecidense | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Internacional | Maracana | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Retro | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | Bahia | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | CRB | Cruzeiro | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Palmeiras | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | CSA | Vasco | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | Bragantino | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fluminense | Internacional | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Retro | Bahia | 0 : 0, 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Atletico-MG | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Athletico-PR | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Vasco | Botafogo RJ | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fluminense | Bahia | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Corinthians | |
| 2 | Vasco | Fluminense | |
Final
