Bahia vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Bahia - Fluminense
09/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bahia
46.8%
Draw
29.5%
Fluminense
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 29.4% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 29% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Bahia - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2)
    3.22
    (3.2)
    3.99
    (4)
    5.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Bahia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bahia - Fluminense were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Fluminense - Bahia 1:0
    16.04.2024 Bahia - Fluminense 0:1
    31.10.2023 Bahia - Fluminense 1:0
    24.06.2023 Fluminense - Bahia 2:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    02.08.2025 Sport Recife - Bahia 0:0
    30.07.2025 Bahia - Retrô Brasil 3:2
    27.07.2025 Bahia - Juventude 3:0
    24.07.2025 Vasco da Gama - Bahia Postponed
    22.07.2025 América de Cali - Bahia 2:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    02.08.2025 Fluminense - Grêmio 1:0
    27.07.2025 São Paulo - Fluminense 3:1
    23.07.2025 Fluminense - Palmeiras 1:2
    20.07.2025 Flamengo - Fluminense 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    2Cruzeiro17104328:111734
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Ceara1663716:16021
    11Internacional1656517:20-321
    12Corinthians1756616:20-421
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1635817:23-614
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet