Result
2:0
07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (371/423) | 87% (329/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (371/423) | 87% (329/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (23/37) | 49% (18/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (68/99) | 81% (86/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Nonato 🟨,
- 20', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ademir ↓, Tiago ↑,
- 60', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 60', Nonato ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 60', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 67', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 67', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
- 68', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
- 74', Erick Pulga 🟨,
- 74', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, PH Ganso ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 0, Thiago Silva ⚽, Soteldo Y. (A),
- 84', Erick Pulga ↓, Ruan Pablo ↑,
- 84', Willian Jose ↓, Cauly ↑,
- 87', Martinelli ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 90+2', Rodrigo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
52.9% | Draw
26.2% | Bahia
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fluminense - Bahia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.77) |
3.62 ↑
(3.58) |
4.48 ↓
(4.61) |
6%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Bahia?
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Fluminense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bahia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Lima
(Yellow Cards)
Manoel
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bahia: David Duarte
(Injury)
Michel Araujo
(Inactive)
Sanabria M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
Soteldo Y.
(Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Injury)
- We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Bahia?
Fluminense has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahia won against Fluminense?
Bahia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Bahia were as follows:
10.09.2025
Fluminense
-
Bahia
2:0
28.08.2025
Bahia
-
Fluminense
1:0
09.08.2025
Bahia
-
Fluminense
3:3
04.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Bahia
1:0
16.04.2024
Bahia
-
Fluminense
0:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 78:27 | 51 | 79 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 76 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 55:31 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ✔ | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 63:39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 50:39 | 11 | 64 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:46 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Bragantino ✔ | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Santos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:50 | -5 | 47 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 42:47 | -5 | 47 |
| 14 | Vasco | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 55:60 | -5 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 45 |
| 16 | Internacional | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44:57 | -13 | 44 |
| 17 | Ceara | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 34:40 | -6 | 43 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:58 | -15 | 43 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 35:69 | -34 | 35 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 28:75 | -47 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Mirassol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
