Result
2:0
26/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (344/395) | 89% (551/616) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (344/395) | 89% (551/616) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 60% (27/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (86/113) | 83% (109/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 24', Cuiabano 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽, Igor Jesus (A),
- 42', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Freytes J. 🟨,
- 58', Cuiabano ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
- 59', Matheus Martins ↓, Artur ↑,
- 60', PH Ganso 🟨,
- 66', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 66', Bernal F. ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 67', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 68', Arias J. 🟨,
- 72', Gregore 🟨,
- 73', Gonzalo Mastriani ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 81', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 81', Martinelli ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 86', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Savarino J. ⚽,
- 90+6', Savarino J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
43.7% | Draw
31.2% | Fluminense
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Botafogo RJ - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.22) |
3.04 ↓
(3.39) |
3.76 ↑
(3.2) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Fluminense will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 5.
- Botafogo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Fluminense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Botafogo will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
David Ricardo
(Red Card)
Jair
(Inactive)
Marcal
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nathan Fernandes
(Thigh Injury)
Rodriguez S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Fuentes G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Isaque Silva
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Guga
(Hamstring Injury)
Lima
(Inactive)
Thiago Silva
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Fluminense?
Botafogo RJ has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Botafogo RJ?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Fluminense were as follows:
29.01.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
2:1
21.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
11.06.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.03.2024
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
2:4
08.10.2023
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
0:2
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
