Fluminense vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 25
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
surinameSurinameSCCN
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.76
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (342/411)86% (397/462)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.48
Total shots
812
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
83% (342/411)86% (397/462)
Long passes
47% (22/47)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)65% (56/86)
Crosses
8% (1/12)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.74
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
1013
Tackles
65% (11/17)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4354
Clearances
2017
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.481.83
Goals prevented
0.48-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Cano G. ,
  • 39', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 39', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Savarino J. , Artur ,
  • 64', Ramos C. , Arthur Cabral ,
  • 64', Marcal , Matheus Martins ,
  • 72', Samuel Xavier , Guga ,
  • 72', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 79', Canobbio A. , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 79', Acosta L. , Lima ,
  • 82', Vitinho , Ponte M. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez S. , Barria K. ,
  • 87', Thiago Silva , Ignacio ,
  • 89', 2 - 0, Lima , Martinelli (A),
  • 90+4', Matheus Martins 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fluminense
43.5%
Draw
30.6%
Botafogo RJ
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 30.4% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 31.1% 31.1%

Fluminense - Botafogo RJ Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.2
(2.4)
3.13
(3.1)
3.7
(3.1)
4.5%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fluminense could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Igor Rabello (Red Card) PH Ganso (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Allan (Inactive) Barboza A. (Yellow Cards) Barrera J. (Inactive) Bastos (Knee Injury) Correa J. (Inactive) Danilo (Inactive) Gonzalo Mastriani (Inactive) Kaio (Red Card) Nathan Fernandes (Arm Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury) Savarino J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Alex Telles (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Fluminense 2:0
    29.01.2025 Botafogo RJ - Fluminense 2:1
    21.09.2024 Fluminense - Botafogo RJ 0:1
    11.06.2024 Botafogo RJ - Fluminense 1:0
    03.03.2024 Fluminense - Botafogo RJ 2:4
    Latest results of Fluminense
    23.09.2025 Fluminense - Lanús 1:1
    16.09.2025 Lanús - Fluminense 1:0
    13.09.2025 Fluminense - Corinthians 0:1
    10.09.2025 Fluminense - Bahia 2:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    24.09.2025 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    14.09.2025 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 35228573:235074
    2Palmeiras ✔ 35217758:292970
    3Cruzeiro351911552:252768
    4Mirassol351712658:342463
    5Botafogo RJ351610950:321858
    6Bahia351681147:43456
    7Fluminense351671240:38255
    8Sao Paulo351391340:40048
    9Bragantino351361640:53-1345
    10Corinthians351291438:42-445
    11Atletico-MG3411111237:39-244
    12Gremio3511101439:46-743
    13Vasco351261750:52-242
    14Ceara351191532:35-342
    15Internacional3510111440:48-841
    16Vitoria359121432:48-1639
    17Santos359111536:50-1438
    18Fortaleza348101637:53-1634
    19Juventude35962033:64-3133
    20Sport Recife352112228:66-3817

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )