Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Premiere, SporTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (400/466) | 86% (425/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (400/466) | 86% (425/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (80/104) | 59% (53/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Kadu Santos ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 58', Barria K. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
- 59', Allan ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 64', Canobbio A. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 64', Moreno S. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 65', Lima ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 66', Artur ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 67', Barrera J. 🟨,
- 69', 0 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽,
- 77', John Kennedy 🟨,
- 78', Nathan Fernandes ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
- 79', Ignacio 🟨,
- 81', John Kennedy ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 89', Leo Linck 🟨,
- 90+3', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Martinelli ↓, Nonato ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
37.4% | Draw
32.1% | Fluminense
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Botafogo RJ - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.39) |
2.88 ↓
(2.99) |
3.04 ↓
(3.12) |
8.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Botafogo (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Fluminense?
Botafogo RJ has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Botafogo RJ?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Fluminense were as follows:
28.09.2025
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
2:0
26.04.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
2:0
29.01.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
2:1
21.09.2024
Fluminense
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
11.06.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Fluminense
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fluminense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Volta Redonda | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Bangu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Vasco | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Sampaio Correa FE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Portuguesa RJ | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Madureira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boavista | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nova Iguacu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 6 | Marica | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
