Result
1:0
16/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 28
- Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (496/555) | 81% (223/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (496/555) | 81% (223/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (33/48) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/127) | 64% (36/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Jadson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Mandaca 🟨,
- 52', Mandaca ↓, Enio ↑,
- 52', Gilberto ↓, Nene ↑,
- 58', Freytes J. 🟨,
- 60', Lima ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 60', Rene ↓, Fuentes G. ↑,
- 71', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
- 71', Thiago Silva 🟨,
- 72', Rafael Bilu ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
- 76', Serna K. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 80', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Giovanny ↑,
- 80', Jadson ↓, Peixoto ↑,
- 81', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 81', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 81', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 86', Jandrei 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 0, Thiago Silva ⚽, Riquelme Felipe (A),
Chances of winning
Fluminense
71.2% | Draw
19.3% | Juventude
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Fluminense - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.44) |
4.93 ↑
(4.33) |
10.2 ↑
(7) |
4.5%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 0.
- Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juventude is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Nonato
(Injury)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Angel W.
(Thigh Injury)
Gabriel Veron
(Hamstring Injury)
Nata
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Abner
(Injury)
Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Juventude?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Fluminense?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Juventude were as follows:
18.05.2025
Juventude
-
Fluminense
1:1
15.09.2024
Juventude
-
Fluminense
2:1
07.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Juventude
2:2
01.08.2024
Juventude
-
Fluminense
3:2
01.06.2024
Fluminense
-
Juventude
1:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Bahia | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
