Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (192/256) | 89% (506/568) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (192/256) | 89% (506/568) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/84) | 77% (95/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Nonato 🟨,
- 35', Angel W. 🟨,
- 45+5', Reginaldo 🟨,
- 45+5', Fuentes G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Batalla E. ⚽,
- 58', Gilberto 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Hercules ⚽,
- 61', Gilberto ↓, Nene ↑,
- 61', Reginaldo ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
- 65', Alan Ruschel 🟨,
- 69', Serna K. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 69', Nonato ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
- 77', Everaldo ↓, Renato Augusto ↑,
- 77', Mandaca ↓, Giovanny ↑,
- 80', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
- 88', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
- 88', Caique Goncalves ↓, Rodrigo Sam ↑,
- 90', Samuel Xavier ↓, Ignacio ↑,
- 90', Martinelli ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
Chances of winning
Juventude
25.2% | Draw
28.7% | Fluminense
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluminense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Juventude - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↑
(2.46) |
3.3 ↑
(3.23) |
2.07 ↓
(2.9) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juventude - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.
- Juventude has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Fluminense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fluminense might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Juventude: Nene
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano
(Hamstring Injury)
Matheus Babi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against Fluminense?
Juventude has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Juventude?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - Fluminense were as follows:
15.09.2024
Juventude
-
Fluminense
2:1
07.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Juventude
2:2
01.08.2024
Juventude
-
Fluminense
3:2
01.06.2024
Fluminense
-
Juventude
1:1
28.09.2022
Fluminense
-
Juventude
4:0
Latest results of Juventude
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
