Fluminense vs Mirassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
06/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 32
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaFlow Eventos
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean
paraguayParaguayFlow Eventos
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
uruguayUruguayFlow
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
83% (282/339)85% (384/451)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.091.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.53
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1024
Passes
83% (282/339)85% (384/451)
Long passes
63% (31/49)63% (35/56)
Passes in final third
84% (98/117)68% (61/90)
Crosses
46% (6/13)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.451.20
Throw-ins
1018
Fouls
2410
Tackles
46% (6/13)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.531.20
Goals prevented
0.531.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Daniel Borges 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Serna K. , Acosta L. (A),
  • 45', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Daniel Borges , Lucas Ramon ,
  • 46', Yago Felipe , Gabriel ,
  • 63', Martinelli 🟨,
  • 64', Danielzinho , Guilherme ,
  • 64', Negueba , Alesson ,
  • 64', Rene 🟨,
  • 72', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
  • 77', Neto Moura , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 78', Martinelli , Bernal F. ,
  • 79', Everaldo , John Kennedy ,
  • 86', Acosta L. , Nonato ,
  • 86', Serna K. , Keno ,
  • 90+1', Keno 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
50.4%
Draw
28.5%
Mirassol
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 28.6% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 31.1% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Fluminense - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.93)
    3.36
    (3.29)
    4.45
    (4.12)
    4.8%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Fluminense - Mirassol?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • EH -1 - Mirassol (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mirassol (3.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Mirassol (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Mirassol (3.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Mirassol (2.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Mirassol (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Mirassol (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Mirassol (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.25 - Fluminense (2.97) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Mirassol (5.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Mirassol (3.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Mirassol (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Mirassol (votes: 20 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In recent matches, Fluminense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mirassol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Mirassol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio (Red Card) Manoel (Inactive) PH Ganso (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Da Silva (Injury) Edson Carioca (Muscle Injury) PH (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Lucas Ramon (Inactive) Matheus Sales (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Mirassol were as follows:
    08.10.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense 2:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    02.11.2025 Ceará - Fluminense 2:0
    29.10.2025 Fluminense - Ceará 1:0
    20.10.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 2:0
    16.10.2025 Fluminense - Juventude 1:0
    Latest results of Mirassol
    01.11.2025 Mirassol - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    25.10.2025 Sport Recife - Mirassol 1:2
    19.10.2025 Mirassol - São Paulo 3:0
    08.10.2025 Mirassol - Fluminense 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras14103124:111333
    2Flamengo RJ1282224:101426
    3Fluminense1382323:16726
    4Sao Paulo1372417:11623
    5Athletico-PR1472520:15523
    6Bahia1263317:14321
    7Coritiba1454516:17-119
    8Vitoria1353516:18-218
    9Bragantino1352615:15017
    10Botafogo RJ1352625:26-117
    11Atletico-MG1452717:20-317
    12Gremio1445515:16-117
    13Vasco1344518:19-116
    14Cruzeiro1444618:24-616
    15Corinthians133649:11-215
    16Santos1436519:22-315
    17Internacional1335512:14-214
    18Remo1425715:24-911
    19Mirassol1223713:18-59
    20Chapecoense-SC1215612:24-128

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B