Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 6
- Referee: Correia B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 80% | 20% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (677/733) | 60% (106/176) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (677/733) | 60% (106/176) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 37% (20/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (132/166) | 47% (27/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Vinicius Matheus 🟨,
- 45+2', Victor Pereira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martinelli ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
- 46', John Kennedy ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 57', Vitinho ↓, Oliver ↑,
- 63', Otavio 🟨,
- 67', Otavio ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 67', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Serna K. ⚽, Acosta L. (A),
- 73', Vinicius Matheus ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 73', Rafael Lucas ↓, Alex Azeredo ↑,
- 77', Serna K. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
- 77', Caio Vitor ↓, Octavio Manteca ↑,
- 78', Almir Silva ↓, Bernardo ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
80.8% | Draw
14.1% | Maricá
5.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fluminense - Maricá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.35) |
6.65 ↑
(4.27) |
18.19 ↑
(8.8) |
7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Maricá?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Fluminense (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Fluminense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Maricá is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Maricá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Maricá?
Fluminense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maricá won against Fluminense?
Maricá has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Maricá were as follows:
18.01.2025
Fluminense
-
Maricá
1:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nova Iguacu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Marica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa FE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Carioca (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Carioca 2
