Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (319/384) | 83% (346/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (319/384) | 83% (346/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (82/119) | 67% (49/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 0% (0/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ignacio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', Ramirez I. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 59', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 63', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 1, Acosta L. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 67', Guga ↓, Samuel Xavier ↑,
- 69', Ze Lucas 🟨,
- 71', Ze Lucas ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Lucas Lima ⚽, Hyoran (A),
- 76', Acosta L. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 76', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 76', Cano G. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, John Kennedy (Pen),
- 87', Matheusinho ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 87', Hyoran ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 88', Hercules ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Luan Candido ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
27.5% | Draw
30.2% | Fluminense
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Sport Recife - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.9) |
3.15 ↑
(3.1) |
2.28 ↓
(2.5) |
4.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 25%). Fluminense (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
- Recife is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fluminense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Yellow Cards)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Nonato
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Fluminense?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Sport Recife?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Fluminense were as follows:
03.05.2025
Fluminense
-
Sport Recife
2:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
