Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 26
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.13 | 1.72 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Total shots |
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12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 1 |
Passes |
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83% (319/384) | 83% (346/418) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.13 | 1.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.35 | 2.14 |
Total shots |
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12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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18 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 15 |
Passes |
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83% (319/384) | 83% (346/418) |
Long passes |
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51% (23/45) | 49% (24/49) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (82/119) | 67% (49/73) |
Crosses |
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25% (4/16) | 0% (0/3) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.60 | 0.82 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 24 |
Fouls |
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15 | 13 |
Tackles |
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64% (9/14) | 64% (14/22) |
Duels won |
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48 | 50 |
Clearances |
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11 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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15 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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2.14 | 1.35 |
Goals prevented |
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0.14 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ignacio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 59', Ramirez I. ↓, Pablo ↑,
- 59', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Romarinho ↑,
- 63', Matheusinho 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 1, Acosta L. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 67', Guga ↓, Samuel Xavier ↑,
- 69', Ze Lucas 🟨,
- 71', Ze Lucas ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Lucas Lima ⚽, Hyoran (A),
- 76', Acosta L. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 76', Canobbio A. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 76', Cano G. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, John Kennedy (Pen),
- 87', Matheusinho ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 87', Hyoran ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 88', Hercules ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Luan Candido ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
Chances of winning
Sport Recife 27.5% | Draw 30.2% | Fluminense 42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Sport Recife - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.45 ↑ (2.9) |
3.15 ↑ (3.1) |
2.28 ↓ (2.5) |
4.7% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 25%). Fluminense (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
- Recife is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fluminense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Derik Lacerda
(Yellow Cards)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Nonato
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Fluminense?
Sport Recife has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Sport Recife?
Fluminense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Fluminense were as follows:
03.05.2025
Fluminense
-
Sport Recife
2:1
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Mirassol | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 43 |
6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
11 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
14 | Corinthians | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet