Sport Recife vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Sport Recife - Fluminense
Result
2:2
01/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 26
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.72
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
83% (319/384)83% (346/418)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.352.14
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
83% (319/384)83% (346/418)
Long passes
51% (23/45)49% (24/49)
Passes in final third
69% (82/119)67% (49/73)
Crosses
25% (4/16)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.82
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1513
Tackles
64% (9/14)64% (14/22)
Duels won
4850
Clearances
1131
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.141.35
Goals prevented
0.14-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Ignacio 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 59', Ramirez I. , Pablo ,
  • 59', Chrystian Barletta , Romarinho ,
  • 63', Matheusinho 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Acosta L. , Serna K. (A),
  • 67', Guga , Samuel Xavier ,
  • 69', Ze Lucas 🟨,
  • 71', Ze Lucas , Lucas Lima ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Lucas Lima , Hyoran (A),
  • 76', Acosta L. , Lima ,
  • 76', Canobbio A. , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 76', Cano G. , John Kennedy ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, John Kennedy (Pen),
  • 87', Matheusinho , Leo Pereira ,
  • 87', Hyoran , Atencio R. ,
  • 88', Hercules , Otavio ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Luan Candido , Lucas Lima (A),

Chances of winning


Sport Recife
27.5%
Draw
30.2%
Fluminense
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 30.2% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 29.3% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Sport Recife - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (2.9)
    3.15
    (3.1)
    2.28
    (2.5)
    4.7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 25%). Fluminense (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
    • Recife is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fluminense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Recife: Denis (Knee Injury) Derik Lacerda (Yellow Cards) Hereda (Health problems) Oliveira S. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: PH Ganso (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Nonato (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Recife won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Fluminense were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Fluminense - Sport Recife 2:1
    Latest results of Sport Recife
    Latest results of Fluminense
    28.09.2025 Fluminense - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    23.09.2025 Fluminense - Lanús 1:1
    16.09.2025 Lanús - Fluminense 1:0
    13.09.2025 Fluminense - Corinthians 0:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia29147840:32849
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Vasco291161246:41539
    9Corinthians301091132:35-339
    10Sao Paulo291081131:33-238
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet