Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (455/541) | 75% (243/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (455/541) | 75% (243/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (138/184) | 62% (48/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (14/37) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 55', Hercules ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 55', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Serna K. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
- 64', Atencio R. 🟨,
- 65', Atencio R. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 65', Ze Lucas ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 70', Martinelli ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
- 77', Hereda 🟨,
- 82', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 86', Pablo ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 86', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 88', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 90+3', Lima 🟨,
- 90+5', Caique Franca 🟨,
- 90+6', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Everaldo ⚽, Arias J. (A),
Chances of winning
Fluminense
54.5% | Draw
27.3% | Sport Recife
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Fluminense - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.73) |
3.48 ↓
(3.73) |
5.25 ↑
(4.68) |
5.1%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Sport Recife?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
- Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recife is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Isaque Silva
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Recife: Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Recife: Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Oliveira S.
(Inactive)
Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
Paciencia G.
(Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Sport Recife?
Fluminense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Fluminense?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Sport Recife were as follows:
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
