Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 7
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.91 | 1.07 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 6 |
Passes |
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84% (455/541) | 75% (243/326) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.91 | 1.07 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.77 | 0.90 |
Total shots |
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20 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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37 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 12 |
Passes |
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84% (455/541) | 75% (243/326) |
Long passes |
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59% (34/58) | 44% (27/61) |
Passes in final third |
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75% (138/184) | 62% (48/78) |
Crosses |
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38% (14/37) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.00 | 0.30 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 24 |
Fouls |
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12 | 13 |
Tackles |
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67% (16/24) | 58% (14/24) |
Duels won |
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60 | 63 |
Clearances |
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30 | 46 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
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0.90 | 2.77 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.10 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 55', Hercules ↓, Nonato ↑,
- 55', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Serna K. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
- 64', Atencio R. 🟨,
- 65', Atencio R. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 65', Ze Lucas ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
- 70', Martinelli ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
- 77', Hereda 🟨,
- 82', Lucas Lima 🟨,
- 86', Pablo ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
- 86', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
- 88', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
- 90+3', Lima 🟨,
- 90+5', Caique Franca 🟨,
- 90+6', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Everaldo ⚽, Arias J. (A),
Chances of winning
Fluminense 54.5% | Draw 27.3% | Sport Recife 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Fluminense - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↑ (1.73) |
3.48 ↓ (3.73) |
5.25 ↑ (4.68) |
5.1% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Sport Recife?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
- Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Recife is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Isaque Silva
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Recife: Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Recife: Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Oliveira S.
(Inactive)
Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
Paciencia G.
(Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Sport Recife?
Fluminense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Fluminense?
Sport Recife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Sport Recife were as follows:
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:6 | 24 | 36 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 28:11 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Palmeiras | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
6 | Bragantino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Botafogo RJ | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 26 |
8 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
9 | Sao Paulo | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Ceara | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
11 | Internacional | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Corinthians | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Atletico-MG | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
15 | Vitoria | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
17 | Santos | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Fortaleza | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
19 | Juventude | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:32 | -22 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet