Result
3:1
01/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (464/525) | 83% (279/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (464/525) | 83% (279/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (109/137) | 71% (70/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 3.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, John Kennedy ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 35', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Hercules ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Breno Bidon ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
- 46', Charles Rigon ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 46', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
- 52', Allan 🟨,
- 52', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 55', Allan 🟥,
- 62', Andre 🟨,
- 69', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 70', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 76', Yuri Alberto ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
- 77', Garro R. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
- 77', John Kennedy ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 77', Hercules ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Castillo R. ⚽, Martinelli (A),
- 86', Martinelli ↓, Cano G. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Andre ⚽,
- 90+4', Pereira M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
54.1% | Draw
27.4% | Corinthians
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Fluminense - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.89) |
3.44 ↑
(3.22) |
5.09 ↑
(4.32) |
5.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Corinthians?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Fluminense (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Fluminense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Corinthians's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F.
(Knee Injury)
Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
Nonato
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Thigh Injury)
Felipe Longo
(Elbow Injury)
Hugo
(Knee Injury)
Kaio Cesar
(Thigh Injury)
Raniele
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Corinthians?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Fluminense?
Corinthians has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Corinthians were as follows:
13.09.2025
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
0:1
16.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
0:2
17.08.2024
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
0:0
28.04.2024
Corinthians
-
Fluminense
3:0
19.10.2023
Fluminense
-
Corinthians
3:3
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Vitoria | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 | Santos | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 |
| 17 | Internacional | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 18 | Remo | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
