Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
worldWorldTV Globo Internacional

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
30.1%
Draw
30.4%
Fluminense
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 28.7% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 27.7% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.16)
    3.11
    (3.26)
    2.4
    (2.25)
    5.8%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fluminense will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Vasco: Cauan Barros (Red Card) Jair (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vasco: Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Fluminense were as follows:
    01.03.2026 Fluminense - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    22.02.2026 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 0:1
    14.12.2025 Fluminense - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    11.12.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 2:1
    20.10.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 2:0
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    15.03.2026 Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama 3:3
    12.03.2026 Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras 2:1
    01.03.2026 Fluminense - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    26.02.2026 Santos - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    22.02.2026 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 0:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    12.03.2026 Remo - Fluminense 0:2
    08.03.2026 Fluminense - Flamengo 0:1
    01.03.2026 Fluminense - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    25.02.2026 Palmeiras - Fluminense 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo651010:3716
    2Palmeiras641114:7713
    3Fluminense641110:6413
    4Bahia53206:3311
    5Flamengo RJ53119:4510
    6Coritiba63128:6210
    7Gremio622210:1008
    8Corinthians62226:608
    9Bragantino62225:6-18
    10Athletico-PR52126:607
    11Vitoria52127:8-17
    12Chapecoense-SC51319:906
    13Mirassol51318:806
    14Santos61329:11-26
    15Vasco61238:10-25
    16Atletico-MG61237:10-35
    17Botafogo RJ41037:9-23
    18Remo60336:11-53
    19Cruzeiro60337:14-73
    20Internacional60243:8-52

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet