Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (371/432) | 88% (371/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (371/432) | 88% (371/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 39% (14/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (99/131) | 66% (39/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 45% (9/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', Freytes J. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
- 29', Fabio 🟨,
- 29', Everaldo 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Mateus Carvalho 🟨,
- 54', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 60', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Adson ↑,
- 60', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Lucas Freitas ↑,
- 61', Lima ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 69', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 77', Serna K. ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
- 78', Hercules ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
- 82', Hugo Moura ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 86', Tche Tche ↓, Sforza J. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Guga ⚽,
- 88', Guga 🟨,
- 89', Everaldo ↓, Ignacio ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
52.8% | Draw
27.9% | Vasco da Gama
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fluminense - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.01) |
3.42 ↑
(3.41) |
4.91 ↑
(3.71) |
5.3%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Vasco da Gama?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fluminense has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F.
(Thigh Injury)
Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
Canobbio A.
(Head Injury)
Nonato
(Yellow Cards)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Coutinho
(Red Card)
David
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Estrella
(Knee Injury)
Payet D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Fluminense?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
05.02.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
1:2
10.08.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
2:0
20.04.2024
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
14.02.2024
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
0:0
16.09.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
4:2
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
