Result
20/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
33% | Draw
31.3% | Fluminense
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Vasco da Gama - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.61) |
3.1 ↑
(3.09) |
2.67 ↓
(2.76) |
4.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Hugo Moura
(Red Card)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Nonato
(Injury)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Inactive)
Keno
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Fluminense?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Fluminense were as follows:
24.05.2025
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
05.02.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
1:2
10.08.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
2:0
20.04.2024
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
14.02.2024
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
0:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Bahia | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
| 14 | Internacional | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
