Result
2:0
20/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/438) | 82% (398/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (359/438) | 82% (398/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (15/49) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 66% (65/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Rayan ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
- 41', Moreira N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Moreira N. ⚽,
- 60', Cano G. ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 60', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 70', Tche Tche ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 70', Moreira N. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 76', Serna K. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 76', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 77', Freytes J. 🟨,
- 85', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
- 86', Gomez C. A. ↓, David ↑,
- 86', Acosta L. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 86', Coutinho ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
- 90', Rayan ↓, GB ↑,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
28.7% | Draw
30.4% | Fluminense
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vasco da Gama - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↑
(2.61) |
3.14 ↑
(3.09) |
2.34 ↓
(2.76) |
4.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Hugo Moura
(Red Card)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fluminense: Nonato
(Injury)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Lucas Piton
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Acosta L.
(Inactive)
Keno
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Fluminense?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Fluminense were as follows:
24.05.2025
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
05.02.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
1:2
10.08.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
2:0
20.04.2024
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
14.02.2024
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
0:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ ✔ | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 74:24 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 60:32 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro ✔ | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 58:36 | 22 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 46:38 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:46 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Gremio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:48 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | Vasco | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 55:53 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceara | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Santos | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 41 |
| 17 | Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 41 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:53 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Juventude ✔ | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 34:65 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | Sport Recife ✔ | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 28:69 | -41 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Clinched Spots for Teams
Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Cruzeiro is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
Sport Recife is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
