Result
1:1 penalties
14/12/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Betano do Brasil - Semi-finals
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Colombia | DSports |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1 |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (272/348) | 79% (302/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (272/348) | 79% (302/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 31% (15/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (49/81) | 63% (67/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
- 32', Gomez C. A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Paulo Henrique (Own goal),
- 44', Acosta L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Nonato 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Nonato ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
- 60', Acosta L. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 60', Everaldo ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
- 64', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
- 68', Serna K. 🟨,
- 73', Moreira N. ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
- 75', Cuesta C. 🟨,
- 78', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 80', Thiago Mendes ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
- 89', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
- 90', Gomez C. A. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
- 90+1', Martinelli ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 90+1', Paulo Henrique ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Thiago Silva (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Vegetti P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, John Kennedy (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Rayan (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, PH Ganso (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Victor Luis (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Rene (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Coutinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Canobbio A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Rodriguez J. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Fluminense
56.3% | Draw
26% | Vasco da Gama
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fluminense - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.77) |
3.58 ↑
(3.51) |
5.27 ↑
(4.49) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Fluminense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vasco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
Manoel
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Piton
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Soteldo Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Vasco: Garre B.
(Inactive)
Thiago Mendes
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Fluminense?
Vasco da Gama has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
11.12.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
2:1
20.10.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
2:0
24.05.2025
Fluminense
-
Vasco da Gama
2:1
05.02.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
1:2
10.08.2024
Vasco da Gama
-
Fluminense
2:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | CRB | |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 7 | Inter de Limeira | Vila Nova FC | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Rio Branco-VN | Amazonas | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | Juventude | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Uniao Carmolandense | America RN | 4 : 2 |
| 11 | Tocantinopolis | Atletico-MG | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Independencia | Manaus | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Concordia | Ponte Preta | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Portuguesa | Botafogo PB | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 17 | Operario VG | Sport Recife | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Rio Branco ES | Novorizontino | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 21 | Sergipe | Ceara | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Parnahyba | Confianca | 0 : 5 |
| 24 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 25 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 27 | Maranhao | Vitoria | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Santa Cruz de Natal | Nautico | 0 : 4 |
| 29 | Trem | Brusque | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Olaria | ABC | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Pouso Alegre | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Guarany de Bage | AE Altos | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Tuna Luso | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Boavista | CSA | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Sao Raimundo RR | Gremio | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Barcelona | Athletic Club | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Humaita | Operario-PR | 0 : 1 |
| 38 | CSE | Tombense | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Uniao Rondonopolis | Vasco | 0 : 3 |
| 40 | Barcelona RO | Nova Iguacu | 1 : 4 |
| 41 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 43 | Porto Velho | Cuiaba | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Capital | Portuguesa RJ | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Operario MS | Criciuma | 0 : 1 |
| 46 | GAS | Remo | 0 : 4 |
| 47 | Sousa | Bragantino | 1 : 2 |
| 48 | Oratorio | EC Sao Jose | 1 : 3 |
| 49 | Aguia De Maraba | Fluminense | 0 : 8 |
| 50 | Dourados | SER Caxias | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Cascavel | America MG | 1 : 0 |
| 52 | Votuporanguense | Aparecidense | 2 : 3 |
| 53 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 55 | Ceilandia | Coritiba | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Maracana | Ferroviario | 2 : 1 |
| 57 | ASA | Atletico GO | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | Jequie | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 61 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Santos | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | CRB | |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | Bye | |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | Rio Branco-VN | 6 : 0 |
| 5 | Maringa FC | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Manaus | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Concordia | Botafogo PB | 0 : 4 |
| 8 | Bye | Flamengo RJ | |
| 9 | Operario VG | Novorizontino | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Corinthians | |
| 11 | Ceara | Confianca | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Palmeiras | |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | Bye | |
| 14 | Vitoria | Nautico | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Brusque | Olaria | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Athletico-PR | Guarany de Bage | 3 : 1 |
| 17 | Tuna Luso | CSA | 0 : 5 |
| 18 | Gremio | Athletic Club | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Operario-PR | Tombense | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Vasco | Nova Iguacu | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Botafogo RJ | Bye | |
| 22 | Porto Velho | Capital | 1 : 3 |
| 23 | Criciuma | Remo | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bragantino | EC Sao Jose | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Fluminense | SER Caxias | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Cascavel | Aparecidense | 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Internacional | Bye | |
| 28 | Ceilandia | Maracana | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Atletico GO | Retro | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bye | Fortaleza | |
| 31 | Paysandu PA | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Bahia | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Santos | CRB | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | Vila Nova FC | 3 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Maringa FC | Atletico-MG | 0 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Botafogo PB | Flamengo RJ | 2 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | Corinthians | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Ceara | Palmeiras | 0 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | Nautico | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Brusque | Athletico-PR | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | CSA | Gremio | 0 : 0, 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | Vasco | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | Capital | 0 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Criciuma | Bragantino | 0 : 6, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Fluminense | Aparecidense | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Internacional | Maracana | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Retro | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Paysandu PA | Bahia | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | CRB | Cruzeiro | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Palmeiras | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | Athletico-PR | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | CSA | Vasco | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | Bragantino | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fluminense | Internacional | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Retro | Bahia | 0 : 0, 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Atletico-MG | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Athletico-PR | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Vasco | Botafogo RJ | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Fluminense | Bahia | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cruzeiro | Corinthians | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Fluminense | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
Final
