Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Vasco da Gama
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, PlayPlus, Premiere, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.66
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (371/432)88% (371/421)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.131.03
Total shots
177
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
235
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
86% (371/432)88% (371/421)
Long passes
56% (22/39)39% (14/36)
Passes in final third
76% (99/131)66% (39/59)
Crosses
29% (6/21)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.46
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1116
Tackles
73% (11/15)45% (9/20)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1344
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.031.13
Goals prevented
0.030.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', Freytes J. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Joao Victor , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 29', Fabio 🟨,
  • 29', Everaldo 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Vegetti P. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Mateus Carvalho 🟨,
  • 54', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
  • 60', Mateus Carvalho , Adson ,
  • 60', Luiz Gustavo , Lucas Freitas ,
  • 61', Lima , PH Ganso ,
  • 69', Hugo Moura 🟨,
  • 77', Serna K. , Paulo Baya ,
  • 78', Hercules , Riquelme Felipe ,
  • 82', Hugo Moura , Paulinho Paula ,
  • 86', Tche Tche , Sforza J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Guga ,
  • 88', Guga 🟨,
  • 89', Everaldo , Ignacio ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
52.8%
Draw
27.9%
Vasco da Gama
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 27.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 27.3% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fluminense - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.01)
    3.42
    (3.41)
    4.91
    (3.71)
    5.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Vasco da Gama?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.31%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fluminense has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F. (Thigh Injury) Cano G. (Knee Injury) Canobbio A. (Head Injury) Nonato (Yellow Cards) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Vasco: Coutinho (Red Card) David (Knee Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Knee Injury) Payet D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    05.02.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 1:2
    10.08.2024 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 2:0
    20.04.2024 Fluminense - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    14.02.2024 Fluminense - Vasco da Gama 0:0
    16.09.2023 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 4:2
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Ceara1553714:15-118
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet