Result
2:0
08/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Gjonaj E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 0, Capelli A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Folgore Caratese
55.6% | Draw
25.1% | Pavia
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Pavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Folgore Caratese - Pavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.52) |
3.61 ↓
(3.75) |
4.71 ↓
(5.3) |
10.2%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Folgore Caratese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Folgore Caratese has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Folgore Caratese is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Folgore Caratese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore Caratese won against Pavia?
Folgore Caratese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Folgore Caratese?
Pavia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore Caratese - Pavia were as follows:
05.10.2025
Pavia
-
Folgore Caratese
0:1
07.08.2025
Folgore Caratese
-
Pavia
1:1
Latest results of Folgore Caratese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
