Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Garcia Rufer A. ⚽,
- 85', 1 - 1, Zaccaria G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Folgore
28.7% | Draw
30.9% | La Fiorita
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore's form might have worsened.La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Fiorita's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+15.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Fiorita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Folgore - La Fiorita Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.21) |
2.92 ↓
(3.54) |
2.23 ↓
(2.84) |
10.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 0.
- Folgore is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- La Fiorita's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Folgore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, La Fiorita has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against La Fiorita?
Folgore has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has La Fiorita won against Folgore?
La Fiorita has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - La Fiorita were as follows:
09.11.2025
La Fiorita
-
Folgore
2:2
22.10.2025
La Fiorita
-
Folgore
1:0
24.09.2025
Folgore
-
La Fiorita
0:0
13.04.2025
La Fiorita
-
Folgore
2:0
01.05.2024
Folgore
-
La Fiorita
0:0
Latest results of Folgore
Latest results of La Fiorita
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
