Folgore vs La Fiorita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Garcia Rufer A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Zaccaria G. ,

Chances of winning


Folgore
28.7%
Draw
30.9%
La Fiorita
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 26% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 24.4% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Folgore's form might have worsened.
  • La Fiorita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Fiorita's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Fiorita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Folgore - La Fiorita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.21)
    2.92
    (3.54)
    2.23
    (2.84)
    10.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 0.
    • Folgore is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • La Fiorita's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Folgore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, La Fiorita has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - La Fiorita were as follows:
    09.11.2025 La Fiorita - Folgore 2:2
    22.10.2025 La Fiorita - Folgore 1:0
    24.09.2025 Folgore - La Fiorita 0:0
    13.04.2025 La Fiorita - Folgore 2:0
    01.05.2024 Folgore - La Fiorita 0:0
    Latest results of Folgore
    01.03.2026 AC Libertas - Folgore 2:4
    21.02.2026 Pennarossa - Folgore 2:3
    15.02.2026 Folgore - Tre Fiori 2:2
    11.02.2026 Folgore - Domagnano 2:1
    08.02.2026 Fiorentino - Folgore 0:4
    Latest results of La Fiorita
    28.02.2026 La Fiorita - Faetano 3:1
    21.02.2026 La Fiorita - AC Libertas 2:2
    14.02.2026 Cailungo - La Fiorita 0:3
    11.02.2026 La Fiorita - Fiorentino 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Virtus (2)Bye
    2Juvenes/Dogana (9)Libertas (10)1 : 1
    3Folgore (5)Bye
    4ByeDomagnano (6)
    5Tre Penne (3)Bye
    6Cosmos (8)Pennarossa (11)3 : 0
    7La Fiorita (4)Bye
    8ByeFiorentino (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus (2)Juvenes/Dogana (9)0 : 0
    2Folgore (5)Domagnano (6)1 : 0
    3Tre Penne (3)Cosmos (8)0 : 0
    4La Fiorita (4)Fiorentino (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place