Montevarchi vs Foligno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Montevarchi
33.1%
Draw
29.8%
Foligno
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.3% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 26.4% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Montevarchi - Foligno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.44)
    3.02
    (3.43)
    2.43
    (2.46)
    10.9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevarchi - Foligno were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Foligno - Montevarchi 4:2
    Latest results of Montevarchi
    Latest results of Foligno
    21.12.2025 Cannara - Foligno 2:4
    14.12.2025 Foligno - Seravezza Pozzi 1:1
    30.11.2025 Prato - Foligno 3:1
    23.11.2025 Foligno - Ghiviborgo 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto26202449:173262
    2Seravezza Pozzi26148435:191650
    3Tau26147541:221949
    4Siena26135834:201444
    5Terranuova Traiana26126822:22042
    6Prato26134935:26941
    7Foligno26117838:31740
    8Scandicci26812628:21736
    9Montevarchi26811723:29-635
    10Ghiviborgo2689938:34433
    11Trestina26961130:31-133
    12San Donato26612823:28-530
    13Camaiore26851333:42-929
    14Orvietana26771227:31-428
    15Follonica Gavorrano26771229:41-1228
    16Poggibonsi26651521:37-1623
    17Vivi Altotevere262111314:35-2117
    18Cannara26361717:51-3415

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation