Montevarchi vs Follonica Gavorrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
09/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Montevarchi
39.6%
Draw
28.7%
Follonica Gavorrano
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27.7% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 26.8% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.3)
    3.16
    (3.28)
    2.85
    (2.76)
    10.6%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 2.
    • Montevarchi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Follonica Gavorrano has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montevarchi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Follonica Gavorrano - Montevarchi 1:1
    28.01.2024 Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano 1:1
    01.10.2023 Follonica Gavorrano - Montevarchi 1:1
    Latest results of Montevarchi
    26.10.2025 Montevarchi - Scandicci 0:0
    19.10.2025 Camaiore - Montevarchi 2:3
    12.10.2025 Montevarchi - Orvietana 0:4
    08.10.2025 Prato - Montevarchi 2:1
    Latest results of Follonica Gavorrano
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto26202449:173262
    2Seravezza Pozzi26148435:191650
    3Tau26147541:221949
    4Siena26135834:201444
    5Terranuova Traiana26126822:22042
    6Prato26134935:26941
    7Foligno26117838:31740
    8Scandicci26812628:21736
    9Montevarchi26811723:29-635
    10Ghiviborgo2689938:34433
    11Trestina26961130:31-133
    12San Donato26612823:28-530
    13Camaiore26851333:42-929
    14Orvietana26771227:31-428
    15Follonica Gavorrano26771229:41-1228
    16Poggibonsi26651521:37-1623
    17Vivi Altotevere262111314:35-2117
    18Cannara26361717:51-3415

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation