Fortaleza CEIF vs América de Cali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.21	0.42
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
75% (215/285)	85% (409/480)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21	0.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	0.02
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
9	9
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
11	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
75% (215/285)	85% (409/480)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	63% (38/60)
Passes in final third
49% (32/65)	68% (78/115)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.23	0.60
Throw-ins
13	20
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
70% (7/10)	50% (3/6)
Duels won
28	30
Clearances
15	15
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.02	0.64
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Valencia S. (Pen),
44', Florez K. 🟨,
45+2', Valencia S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Borrero D. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
46', Ramos L. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
46', Barrios C. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
46', Florez K. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
49', Pestana J. 🟨,
53', Velasquez J. 🟨,
54', Balanta J. 🟥,
57', Murillo J. 🟨,
61', Ricaurte A. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
61', Cordoba S. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
64', Pico L. 🟨,
71', Holgado R. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
77', Castillo M. ↓, Angulo K. ↑,
79', Arroyo A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Fortaleza CEIF
45%

Draw
37.5%

América de Cali
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

30%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América de Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América de Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)	3.16 ↑ (3)	7.25 ↑ (2.75)	-14.7% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 20).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against América de Cali?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Fortaleza CEIF?

América de Cali has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali were as follows:

30.03.2025 América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0

28.09.2024 América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1

17.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali 0:0

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

07.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe 2:0 ✺

Latest results of América de Cali

07.09.2025 América de Cali - Deportivo Cali 0:0 ✺

03.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali 1:0 ✺

27.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Nacional 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	16	9	4	3	30:19	11	31
2	Bucaramanga	15	9	3	3	26:12	14	30
3	Ind. Medellin	15	9	3	3	33:21	12	30
4	Atl. Nacional	16	7	7	2	27:19	8	28
5	Fortaleza	16	7	7	2	21:16	5	28
6	Llaneros	16	7	4	5	16:14	2	25
7	Deportes Tolima	15	7	2	6	18:14	4	23
8	Santa Fe	15	5	6	4	16:14	2	21
9	Aguilas	16	5	6	5	21:22	-1	21
10	America De Cali	16	5	5	6	16:15	1	20
11	Alianza	16	5	5	6	19:21	-2	20
12	Dep. Cali	16	5	5	6	20:23	-3	20
13	Once Caldas	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19
14	Pereira	16	4	6	6	17:19	-2	18
15	U. Magdalena	16	5	3	8	20:26	-6	18
16	Millonarios	15	5	2	8	18:23	-5	17
17	Envigado	16	3	7	6	14:18	-4	16
18	Dep. Pasto	16	2	7	7	19:25	-6	13
19	Chico	16	2	7	7	11:23	-12	13
20	La Equidad	15	2	5	8	9:22	-13	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )