Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Mosquera C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (289/380) | 78% (309/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (289/380) | 78% (309/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 29% (15/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (96/134) | 59% (52/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.72 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Pipe Gomez ⚽, Cavadia J. (A),
- 34', Medina B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Cavadia J. ↓, Carrascal R. ↑,
- 59', Navarro S. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 62', Lucumi J. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
- 73', Barrera J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 73', Sanchez L. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 73', Ramos L. ↓, Holgado R. ↑,
- 76', Ruiz D. ↓, Arrechea E. ↑,
- 76', Aristizabal E. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
- 85', Cordoba S. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
- 90+6', Mosquera A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Vergara D. 🟨,
- 90+8', Camacho D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
América de Cali
63% | Draw
22.7% | Fortaleza CEIF
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.58) |
4.11 ↑
(3.7) |
6.56 ↑
(5.4) |
7%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América de Cali: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 15).
- América de Cali is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fortaleza is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match América de Cali is certain favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches América de Cali won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams América de Cali won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Fortaleza CEIF?
América de Cali has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against América de Cali?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
28.09.2024
América de Cali
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:1
17.03.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
América de Cali
0:0
Latest results of América de Cali
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
