Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (251/327) | 73% (232/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (251/327) | 73% (232/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (35/72) | 30% (19/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (46/75) | 53% (54/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 34', Duarte B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Duarte B. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Florez K. (A),
- 60', 1 - 1, Moreno N. ⚽, De Las Salas C. (A),
- 64', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 65', Henao C. 🟨,
- 73', Charrupi G. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
- 73', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 73', Salas J. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 73', Florez K. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Amaya A. ⚽,
- 80', Moreno N. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 84', Ricaurte A. ↓, Ramiirez S. ↑,
- 84', Valencia S. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 85', De Las Salas C. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 87', Arroyo A. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 87', Santander C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
30.7% | Draw
33.8% | Atlético Bucaramanga
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.3) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
2.64 ↓
(3.38) |
6.5%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Fortaleza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bucaramanga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
13.04.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Fortaleza CEIF
4:0
09.11.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:0
22.04.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
