Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/342) | 79% (229/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/342) | 79% (229/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (13/39) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (63/101) | 59% (43/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Gutierrez T. ⚽,
- 44', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Barrios C. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 55', Martinez J. ↓, Marulanda J. ↑,
- 63', Muriel L. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
- 64', Rivera H. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Gutierrez T. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
- 70', Canchimbo J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
- 76', Cuero S. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
- 76', Navarro S. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 80', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 85', Herrera J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
- 85', Arroyo A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 87', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 87', Rios J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Pestana J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Velasquez J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Pestana J. ⚽, Suarez Y. (A),
Chances of winning
Junior Barranquilla
57.5% | Draw
24.6% | Fortaleza CEIF
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.44) |
3.8 ↓
(4.17) |
5.14 ↓
(7.4) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Junior is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Junior Barranquilla has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Junior Barranquilla?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
08.11.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:1
16.05.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
17.08.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
11.02.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:0
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
