Envigado vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/07/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.24
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
79% (209/264)78% (255/326)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.39
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
79% (209/264)78% (255/326)
Long passes
40% (18/45)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
73% (75/103)59% (47/79)
Crosses
30% (7/23)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.98
Throw-ins
1624
Fouls
1717
Tackles
72% (13/18)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.390.20
Goals prevented
-0.610.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
  • 38', Torres C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ricaurte A. , Amaya A. ,
  • 61', Torres C. , Ramirez N. ,
  • 70', Mosquera C. , Martinez J. ,
  • 73', Lopez E. , Gomez L. ,
  • 73', Garces J. , Londono S. ,
  • 78', Murillo B. 🟨,
  • 84', Florez K. , Cuero S. ,
  • 86', Londono S. 🟨,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Aristizabal E. , Valencia S. (A),
  • 90+1', Aristizabal E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Berrio F. , Dawson D. ,
  • 90+3', Valencia S. , Escorcia L. ,
  • 90+3', Amaya A. , Balanta Carabali K. A. ,

Chances of winning


Envigado
33.2%
Draw
32.6%
Fortaleza CEIF
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 32.5% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 33.2% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.85)
    2.87
    (2.85)
    2.73
    (2.65)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Envigado is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Envigado won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Envigado 0:0
    03.08.2024 Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF 0:1
    04.02.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Envigado 1:1
    Latest results of Envigado
    07.06.2025 Envigado - Barranquilla 2:1
    30.05.2025 Orsomarso - Envigado 0:1
    24.05.2025 Envigado - Llaneros SA 1:2
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional ✔ 15111330:111934
    2Dep. Pasto1584321:17428
    3Deportes Tolima1576224:131127
    4Once Caldas1567226:19725
    5Junior1581621:20125
    6America De Cali1573519:12724
    7Dep. Cali1564517:13422
    8Aguilas1564516:17-122
    9Inter Bogotu00e11557318:20-222
    10Millonarios1563625:17821
    11Llaneros1548316:14220
    12Bucaramanga1547418:14419
    13Santa Fe1547418:19-119
    14Ind. Medellin1445519:19017
    15Fortaleza1537517:23-616
    16Cucuta1636721:27-615
    17Alianza1536610:22-1215
    18Jaguares de Cordoba16421014:28-1414
    19Chico1432911:21-1011
    20Pereira1506914:29-156

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