Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (180/241) | 87% (440/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (180/241) | 87% (440/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 62% (33/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 78% (115/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 13', Garcia J. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Aristizabal E. (Pen),
- 17', Garcia J. ↓, Rojas T. ↑,
- 40', 2 - 0, Pajaro R. ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ricaurte A. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 46', Balanta J. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 53', Valencia S. 🟥,
- 54', Tamayo K. 🟨,
- 57', Florez K. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 58', Oliveros S. 🟨,
- 59', Beltran E. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 62', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 🟨,
- 70', Gomez P. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 77', Parra J. 🟨,
- 77', Aristizabal E. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 83', Mosquera C. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
- 87', Rojas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
41.6% | Draw
31.8% | Once Caldas
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.55) |
2.95 ↑
(2.82) |
3.53 ↑
(3.29) |
6.9%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Fortaleza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Once Caldas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fortaleza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Once Caldas?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas were as follows:
01.02.2025
Once Caldas
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
01.11.2024
Once Caldas
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:2
25.04.2024
Once Caldas
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:1
13.04.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Once Caldas
2:0
09.04.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Once Caldas
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
