Result
5:0
01/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.43 | 0.38 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
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16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
13 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 4 |
Passes |
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91% (563/621) | 84% (275/326) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.43 | 0.38 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
4.14 | 0.45 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
13 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
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4 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
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91% (563/621) | 84% (275/326) |
Long passes |
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70% (30/43) | 51% (24/47) |
Passes in final third |
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73% (83/114) | 73% (61/83) |
Crosses |
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30% (3/10) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.61 | 0.70 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 12 |
Fouls |
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10 | 11 |
Tackles |
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72% (13/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
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43 | 43 |
Clearances |
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18 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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0.45 | 4.14 |
Goals prevented |
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0.45 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Leo Ortiz (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Evertton Araujo ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 56', 3 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 59', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Pulgar E. ↑,
- 59', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 59', Everton ↓, Michael ↑,
- 64', Pochettino T. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 64', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 64', Lucca Prior ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
- 67', Ze Welison 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 0, Michael ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 74', 5 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 79', Luiz Araujo ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 79', Mancuso E. ↓, Avila G. ↑,
- 79', Marinho ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 84', Alex Sandro ↓, Vina M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo 68.8% | Draw 20.2% | Fortaleza 10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Flamengo - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.52) |
4.62 ↑ (4.08) |
8.6 ↑ (6.53) |
5.8% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 76.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.
- Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fortaleza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Plata G.
(Knee Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Diogo Barbosa
(Inactive)
Fernandez P.
(Inactive)
Lucas Sasha
(Forearm injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pedro Augusto
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto
(Injury)
Pedro Augusto
(Injury)
Rodrigo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Fortaleza?
Flamengo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Flamengo?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Fortaleza were as follows:
26.11.2024
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
0:0
11.07.2024
Flamengo
-
Fortaleza
1:2
05.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
0:2
01.07.2023
Flamengo
-
Fortaleza
2:0
28.09.2022
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
3:2
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet