Flamengo vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Flamengo - Fortaleza
Result
5:0
01/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 11
  • Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.38
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
133
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
91% (563/621)84% (275/326)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.38
xG on target (xGOT)
4.140.45
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
309
Accurate through passes
40
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
91% (563/621)84% (275/326)
Long passes
70% (30/43)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
73% (83/114)73% (61/83)
Crosses
30% (3/10)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.70
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1011
Tackles
72% (13/18)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1818
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.454.14
Goals prevented
0.45-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Alex Sandro 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. , Leo Ortiz (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Evertton Araujo , Varela G. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 0, Luiz Araujo , de Arrascaeta G. (A),
  • 59', de Arrascaeta G. , Pulgar E. ,
  • 59', Bruno Henrique , Pedro ,
  • 59', Everton , Michael ,
  • 64', Pochettino T. , Yago Pikachu ,
  • 64', Deyverson , Lucero J. ,
  • 64', Lucca Prior , Breno Lopes ,
  • 67', Ze Welison 🟨,
  • 71', 4 - 0, Michael , Varela G. (A),
  • 74', 5 - 0, Luiz Araujo , Pedro (A),
  • 79', Luiz Araujo , Juninho ,
  • 79', Mancuso E. , Avila G. ,
  • 79', Marinho , Rodrigo ,
  • 84', Alex Sandro , Vina M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flamengo
68.8%
Draw
20.2%
Fortaleza
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 23.2% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 22.7% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Flamengo - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.52)
    4.62
    (4.08)
    8.6
    (6.53)
    5.8%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Flamengo - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 76.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.
    • Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fortaleza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Plata G. (Knee Injury) Pulgar E. (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury) de la Cruz N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Inactive) Diogo Barbosa (Inactive) Fernandez P. (Inactive) Lucas Sasha (Forearm injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pedro Augusto (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto (Injury) Pedro Augusto (Injury) Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Fortaleza were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Fortaleza - Flamengo 0:0
    11.07.2024 Flamengo - Fortaleza 1:2
    05.11.2023 Fortaleza - Flamengo 0:2
    01.07.2023 Flamengo - Fortaleza 2:0
    28.09.2022 Fortaleza - Flamengo 3:2
    Latest results of Flamengo
    25.05.2025 Palmeiras - Flamengo 0:2
    21.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo PB 4:2
    18.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    15.05.2025 Flamengo - LDU Quito 2:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    29.05.2025 Racing - Fortaleza 1:0
    25.05.2025 Fortaleza - Cruzeiro 0:2
    21.05.2025 Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil 1:2
    17.05.2025 Vasco da Gama - Fortaleza 3:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet