Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 20% | 80% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (106/171) | 88% (618/701) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (106/171) | 88% (618/701) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (25/61) | 69% (22/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (33/58) | 80% (207/259) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 15% (5/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes ⚽, Herrera J. (A),
- 14', Breno Lopes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 54', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 62', Bareiro A. ↓, Moises ↑,
- 65', Samuel Lino ↓, Michael ↑,
- 65', Plata G. ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
- 71', Pierre ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 71', Herrera J. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 78', Pochettino T. ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
- 78', Breno Lopes ↓, Kayke ↑,
- 87', Jorginho ↓, Juninho ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
18.4% | Draw
26% | Flamengo
55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Fortaleza - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.16 ↑
(5) |
3.68 ↑
(3.6) |
1.71 ↑
(1.7) |
5%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- Recent performances by Fortaleza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Allanzinho
(Inactive)
Benevenuto
(Hamstring Injury)
Joao Ricardo
(Shoulder Injury)
Lucero J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Carrascal J.
(Yellow Cards)
Everton
(Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Lucas Crispim
(Muscle Injury)
Pereira M.
(Inactive)
Weverson
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Flamengo?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Fortaleza?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Flamengo were as follows:
01.06.2025
Flamengo
-
Fortaleza
5:0
26.11.2024
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
0:0
11.07.2024
Flamengo
-
Fortaleza
1:2
05.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
0:2
01.07.2023
Flamengo
-
Fortaleza
2:0
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
