Result
5:0
01/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 11
- Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (563/621) | 84% (275/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.14 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (563/621) | 84% (275/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (83/114) | 73% (61/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 4.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Alex Sandro 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Leo Ortiz (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Evertton Araujo ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 56', 3 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 59', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Pulgar E. ↑,
- 59', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 59', Everton ↓, Michael ↑,
- 64', Pochettino T. ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
- 64', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 64', Lucca Prior ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
- 67', Ze Welison 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 0, Michael ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 74', 5 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 79', Luiz Araujo ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 79', Mancuso E. ↓, Avila G. ↑,
- 79', Marinho ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 84', Alex Sandro ↓, Vina M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Flamengo
68.8% | Draw
20.2% | Fortaleza
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Flamengo - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.52) |
4.62 ↑
(4.08) |
8.6 ↑
(6.53) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Flamengo - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 76.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.
- Flamengo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fortaleza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Flamengo is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Flamengo: Plata G.
(Knee Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
de la Cruz N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Bruninho
(Inactive)
Diogo Barbosa
(Inactive)
Fernandez P.
(Inactive)
Lucas Sasha
(Forearm injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pedro Augusto
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Matheus Rossetto
(Injury)
Pedro Augusto
(Injury)
Rodrigo
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Fortaleza?
Flamengo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Flamengo?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Flamengo - Fortaleza were as follows:
26.11.2024
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
0:0
11.07.2024
Flamengo
-
Fortaleza
1:2
05.11.2023
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
0:2
01.07.2023
Flamengo
-
Fortaleza
2:0
28.09.2022
Fortaleza
-
Flamengo
3:2
Latest results of Flamengo
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
| 11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
| 15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
