Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (319/393) | 86% (445/515) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (319/393) | 86% (445/515) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 58% (34/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 73% (102/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.45 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Cano G. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 24', Keno ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 43', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 45+2', Britez E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Breno Lopes 🟨,
- 45+5', Martinelli 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Andrade K. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 55', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 57', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 63', Herrera J. ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
- 63', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 67', Martinelli ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 73', Yago Pikachu ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Allanzinho (A),
- 80', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 80', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 86', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
54.5% | Draw
26.8% | Fortaleza
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Fluminense - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.83) |
3.54 ↑
(3.3) |
5.02 ↑
(4.62) |
5.3%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Fluminense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Red Card)
Fuentes G.
(Knee Injury)
Ignacio
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Gustavo Mancha
(Red Card)
Joao Ricardo
(Finger Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Soteldo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Pereira M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Fortaleza?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Fluminense?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Fortaleza were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
2:0
22.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:2
07.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
1:0
10.09.2022
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Gremio | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
