Fluminense vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - Fortaleza
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Fluminense
54.3%
Draw
26.8%
Fortaleza
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 28.5% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 28% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Fluminense - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.83)
    3.55
    (3.3)
    5
    (4.62)
    5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
    • Fluminense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fortaleza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Fortaleza were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Fortaleza - Fluminense 2:0
    22.11.2024 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:2
    07.07.2024 Fortaleza - Fluminense 1:0
    03.09.2023 Fluminense - Fortaleza 1:0
    10.09.2022 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    09.08.2025 Bahia - Fluminense 3:3
    02.08.2025 Fluminense - Grêmio 1:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    09.08.2025 Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ 0:5
    03.08.2025 Corinthians - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.07.2025 Grêmio - Fortaleza 2:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ18124233:82540
    2Cruzeiro19114431:131837
    3Palmeiras17113323:15836
    4Bahia1786323:16730
    5Botafogo RJ1785423:101329
    6Mirassol1777328:181028
    7Sao Paulo1977522:20228
    8Bragantino1983822:25-327
    9Fluminense1773721:23-224
    10Atletico-MG1766519:18124
    11Internacional1866621:23-224
    12Ceara1864818:19-122
    13Corinthians1957718:23-522
    14Santos1863920:23-321
    15Gremio1855816:24-820
    16Vitoria1939716:22-618
    17Vasco1744919:24-516
    18Fortaleza1836918:29-1115
    19Juventude17421113:36-2314
    20Sport Recife17161010:25-159

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet