Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 1.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
81% (319/393) | 86% (445/515) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 1.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.73 | 2.45 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
81% (319/393) | 86% (445/515) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (24/48) | 58% (34/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (55/83) | 73% (102/140) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (2/9) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.77 | 1.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.45 | 1.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.45 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Cano G. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 24', Keno ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
- 43', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 45+2', Britez E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Breno Lopes 🟨,
- 45+5', Martinelli 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Andrade K. ↓, Lucca Prior ↑,
- 55', Bernal F. 🟨,
- 57', Lucero J. 🟨,
- 63', Herrera J. ↓, Breno Lopes ↑,
- 63', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Canobbio A. ⚽, Serna K. (A),
- 67', Martinelli ↓, Hercules ↑,
- 73', Yago Pikachu ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Allanzinho (A),
- 80', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
- 80', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 86', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense 54.5% | Draw 26.8% | Fortaleza 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Fluminense - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (1.83) |
3.54 ↑ (3.3) |
5.02 ↑ (4.62) |
5.3% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Fluminense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Red Card)
Fuentes G.
(Knee Injury)
Ignacio
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno
(Finger Injury)
Gustavo Mancha
(Red Card)
Joao Ricardo
(Finger Injury)
Moises
(Thigh Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Soteldo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortaleza: Pereira M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Fortaleza?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Fluminense?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Fortaleza were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
2:0
22.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:2
07.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
1:0
10.09.2022
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet