Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (217/282) | 91% (612/673) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (217/282) | 91% (612/673) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (13/43) | 50% (19/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 80% (140/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.77 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Marinho (A),
- 15', Serna K. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 21', 2 - 0, Tinga ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 62', Tinga ↓, David Luiz ↑,
- 68', Mano Menezes 🟨,
- 70', Hercules ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
- 72', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 72', Marinho ↓, Moises ↑,
- 83', Rene ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
- 83', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 85', Lucas Sasha ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 85', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 90+5', Moises 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza
39.7% | Draw
30.9% | Fluminense
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Fortaleza - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.39) |
3.06 ↓
(3.1) |
3.21 ↑
(3.12) |
5.9%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
- Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Fortaleza will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Fluminense?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Fortaleza?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Fluminense were as follows:
22.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:2
07.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
1:0
10.09.2022
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
