Fortaleza vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Fortaleza - Fluminense
Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 1
  • Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.82
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
77% (217/282)91% (612/673)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.03
Total shots
515
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1017
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
516
Passes
77% (217/282)91% (612/673)
Long passes
30% (13/43)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
58% (38/66)80% (140/174)
Crosses
22% (2/9)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.77
Fouls
165
Tackles
38% (10/26)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4343
Clearances Total
2421
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.031.36
Goals prevented
0.03-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Lucero J. , Marinho (A),
  • 15', Serna K. , Lima ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Tinga , Fernandez P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Canobbio A. , Keno ,
  • 62', Tinga , David Luiz ,
  • 68', Mano Menezes 🟨,
  • 70', Hercules , Lezcano R. ,
  • 72', Emmanuel Martinez , Ze Welison ,
  • 72', Marinho , Moises ,
  • 83', Rene , Lavega J. ,
  • 83', Cano G. , Everaldo ,
  • 85', Lucas Sasha , Pochettino T. ,
  • 85', Lucero J. , Deyverson ,
  • 90+5', Moises 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fortaleza
39.7%
Draw
30.9%
Fluminense
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 30.3% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 31.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Fortaleza - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.39)
    3.06
    (3.1)
    3.21
    (3.12)
    5.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
    • Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Fortaleza will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Fluminense were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:2
    07.07.2024 Fortaleza - Fluminense 1:0
    03.09.2023 Fluminense - Fortaleza 1:0
    10.09.2022 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    26.03.2025 Fortaleza - CRB Maceio 0:1
    22.03.2025 Ceará - Fortaleza 1:1
    19.03.2025 Sousa - Fortaleza 2:1
    15.03.2025 Fortaleza - Ceará 0:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    09.03.2025 Volta Redonda - Fluminense 0:0
    05.03.2025 Caxias - Fluminense 1:2
    02.03.2025 Fluminense - Volta Redonda 4:0
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ1493227:52230
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1583418:15327
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Corinthians1655615:19-420
    11Ceara1553714:15-118
    12Internacional1445514:18-417
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1536611:15-415
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1442812:17-514
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1303105:21-163

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