Result
16/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Fluminense 54.3% | Draw 26.8% | Fortaleza 18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1%)
Fluminense - Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.83) |
3.55 ↑ (3.3) |
5 ↑ (4.62) |
5% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Fortaleza?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 1.
- Fluminense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Fortaleza?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Fluminense?
Fortaleza has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Fortaleza were as follows:
29.03.2025
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
2:0
22.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:2
07.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
1:0
10.09.2022
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:1
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 40 |
2 | Cruzeiro | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:13 | 18 | 37 |
3 | Palmeiras | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 36 |
4 | Bahia | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:10 | 13 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 28 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
8 | Bragantino | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 27 |
9 | Fluminense | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Atletico-MG | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Internacional | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Ceara | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Corinthians | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Santos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Vitoria | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
17 | Vasco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Fortaleza | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 15 |
19 | Juventude | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Sport Recife | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:25 | -15 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet