Result
2:0
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.90 | 0.82 |
Ball Possession |
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30% | 70% |
Total shots |
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5 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Passes |
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77% (217/282) | 91% (612/673) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 0.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.36 | 0.03 |
Total shots |
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5 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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3 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 17 |
Offsides |
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4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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5 | 16 |
Passes |
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77% (217/282) | 91% (612/673) |
Long passes |
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30% (13/43) | 50% (19/38) |
Passes in final third |
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58% (38/66) | 80% (140/174) |
Crosses |
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22% (2/9) | 22% (5/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.33 | 0.77 |
Fouls |
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16 | 5 |
Tackles |
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38% (10/26) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
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43 | 43 |
Clearances Total |
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24 | 21 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.03 | 1.36 |
Goals prevented |
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0.03 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Marinho (A),
- 15', Serna K. ↓, Lima ↑,
- 21', 2 - 0, Tinga ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
- 62', Tinga ↓, David Luiz ↑,
- 68', Mano Menezes 🟨,
- 70', Hercules ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
- 72', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
- 72', Marinho ↓, Moises ↑,
- 83', Rene ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
- 83', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 85', Lucas Sasha ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
- 85', Lucero J. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
- 90+5', Moises 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza 39.7% | Draw 30.9% | Fluminense 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Fortaleza - Fluminense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↓ (2.39) |
3.06 ↓ (3.1) |
3.21 ↑ (3.12) |
5.9% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza - Fluminense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 2.
- Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Fortaleza will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza won against Fluminense?
Fortaleza has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Fortaleza?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza - Fluminense were as follows:
22.11.2024
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:2
07.07.2024
Fortaleza
-
Fluminense
1:0
03.09.2023
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
1:0
10.09.2022
Fluminense
-
Fortaleza
2:1
Latest results of Fortaleza
Latest results of Fluminense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:5 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
11 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Internacional | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
13 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
14 | Sao Paulo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Vitoria | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | -18 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet